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Thursday, December 01, 2022

A new poll in Brazil fuels Lula da Silva’s illusions of defeating Jair Bolsonaro in the first round

A new poll in Brazil fuels Lula da Silva's illusions of defeating Jair Bolsonaro in the first round

RIO DE JANEIRO. – With only three days before the presidential election in Brazil, the Datafolha Institute revealed a new voter intent survey, which gives Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva 14 point lead Compared to its main rival, Jair Bolsonaroreaches 50% of the valid votes, which will leave it On the verge of victory in the first round,

Lula (Workers Party) repeated the number in respect of the last vote and The far-right president (Liberal Party) rose one point from 35% to 36%,

Lula Da Silva During A Campaign Event With Athletes
Lula da Silva during a campaign event with athletesOther Pen – Associated Press

Also appear is Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labor Party), with 6% of the valid votes, and Senator Simone Tebate (Brazil Democratic Movement), with 5%.

case was one DiscountScheduled for October 30, Lula will get 54% of the vote and Bolsonaro will get 39% of the vote.According to the work of Datafolha.

Datafolha began disclosing the intended result of valid votes, which exclude white, null and indeterminate votes from the count, as the criteria used by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) to define the outcome of the election. .

according to Overall vote intended, Lula won 48% (+1); Bolsonaro, 34% (+1); Gomes, 6% (-1); Tebet, 5% (equal) and Soraya thronicae (Brazilian federation), 1% (equal). loss Vacant and invalid votes reached 3% (-1), and indeterminate 2% (the same).

in regard of The level of disapproval of candidates, with 52% of voters confirming that they would not vote for Bolsonaro in any aspect; 39% said the same about Lula and 24% said the same about Lula gomes,

was released just four and a half hours before the survey The last debate that the candidates will hold tonight (from 10:30 pm) on TV Globo, usually seen most before elections. The crossing is seen as the last great opportunity for candidates to attract votes.

President Jair Bolsonaro In An Act In San Pablo.  (Miguel Shincariol/Afp)
President Jair Bolsonaro in an act in San Pablo. (MIguel Shincariol/AFP)Miguel Shincariol – AFP

The president’s aides expect Bolsonaro to take an aggressive tone against Lula, attacking him for the corruption scandals uncovered during the PT governments (2003–2016) and moving him into the realm of conservative values ​​that defend the president. are, such as those against religion or abortion

For Lula, who wants to return to the Planalto Palace after ruling Brazil between 2003 and 2010, Succeeding in the debate could give him a final push to reinvent himself as president on Sunday, “We feel confident, though ready for the second round,” a PT campaign source said on condition of anonymity.

Thursday’s survey by Datafolha, one of the benchmark institutions in Brazil, was based on 6,800 interviews in 332 cities, a higher-than-normal number (the margin of error is two digits). On Saturday, he will again broadcast the final survey conducted after the debate.,

As of Thursday’s poll, 85% of Brazilians have already chosen which candidate they will vote for, while another 15% said they could change their mind by Sunday, In the poll published last week, 80% had decided who to vote for, while 18% were open to change candidates.

In a polarized environment and to prevent any episode of violence, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on Thursday observed that between Saturday and Monday, arms and ammunition are being carried across the country by licensed citizens, such as hunters, collectors and shooters. decided to stop. , The TSE had earlier prohibited carrying firearms within 100 meters of polling stations on election day.

Hey Globo/GDA and AFP Agency

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