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Thursday, August 18, 2022

Ask IRA: Will Duncan Robinson leave the summer in a trade deficit?

Q: I would pretty much trade for Miles Turner, whose contract is expiring, has the same cap hit as Duncan Robinson. Having two first-rounders for Duncan Robinson and Miles is the safest move in my opinion and provides flexibility later this season if we don’t sign him again! – Jesse.

A: This provides an opportunity with Duncan Robinson to address an element that I believe is overlooked when it comes to his place in the trading market. Yes, Duncan’s $16.9 million salary for the coming season puts him in the sweet spot of many business permutations. But he also owes $18.2 million in 2023-24 and $19.4 million in 2024-25, which is fully guaranteed, as well as $19.9 million in 2025-26, with half of the total guaranteed. So it’s not like the team that took Duncan to a deal is just taking less money. Instead, it involves an investment of at least $65 million. Along with Miles Turner, he has a salary of only $18 million for the coming season. But if such a Robinson-Turner move happens, it’s not as if Turner running into free agency in 2023 would open up cap space for the Heat. Not on the books, with Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, and a potentially extended Tyler Harrow.

Q: Not likely to happen, should Nikola Jovic emerge as a rotation player this year, how do you envision his role? – Ray, Deerfield Beach.

A: I don’t, because he won’t. Based on Nikola Jovic’s limited performances during the Summer League, this is a raw talent in terms of physique and experience. And given that he becomes tradable on August 1, I’m still not completely sold that he’ll be around. There is a lot of liquid at this point.

Q: Shouldn’t Udonis Haslem be told in advance that he’s coming back before it’s too late if they want to sign someone for that position? – Frederick.

A: I believe he’s basically already done that, without really saying that, considering his appearance in the Summer League with the team on the practice court, according to a recording of Duncan Robinson’s podcast time, and then judging by Max Strauss’ youth camp appearance with Gabe Vincent. Udonis Haslem is basically going through this summer as a teammate. Any announcement seems like it will be just a formality.

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