Sunday, December 04, 2022

Brazil: Lula’s chances of winning the first round this Sunday have increased. Election campaign in final phase

Brazil: Lula's chances of winning the first round this Sunday have increased.  Election campaign in final phase

from Sao Paulo

Brazil breathes three electoral scenarios at once. The elections that saw Lula win as many as possible in the first round are gaining momentum. His contrasting vision, which is promoted by President Bolsonaro, is based on the hypothetical majority of 60 percent that he believes accompanies him. eventuallyThe watchful and careful eye of ordinary people, who do not dare to predict the outcome in Sunday’s election and believe that everything will be defined in the second round. At least in this city, the capital of the most populous state and considered the nerve center of the country. A newcomer visitor spirit.

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Those situations can be distinguished from the data being read in the media for the first time. indicates everything – and not just probing – that The right-wing army comes running from far behind. His behavior snatches him away. Cataract of attacks on the electoral system became a classic show. Growing grievances against his main adversary and the Workers’ Party, a force that turned out to be a nightmare for him. But at the same time his eagerness to win the alley continuous motorbike caravan That yesterday included a raid through Santos, located 80 km away, and a visit to the famed footballer’s charity Neymar Junior Institute. Lula, on the other hand, took refuge in preparation for debates with candidates to be held on Thursday night and at campaign meetings. After several major acts across Brazil, it doesn’t seem like it needs to re-validate its cohesive power. He is focused on getting over 50 percent to avoid the ballot.

The surveys that gained more specific weight and audience penetration are those of Ipec – formerly Ibope – contracted by the Globo Group. Among Brazil’s five most important states, they place more than 50 percent good hopes for Lula’s victory on Sunday, October 2. Across the country, the total of valid votes represents 52 percent against Bolsonaro’s 34. The data is consistent with the sample from 25th to 26th of this month.


So Paulo, the main Brazilian electorate, gives 43 to 44 percent to Lula and 33 percent to her main rival, That can’t be off one percent, considering the previous IPEC survey. Fernando Haddad, a former candidate for the presidency of the PT in 2018, is also leading in the district, although he will now run for governor. He overtook Bolsonaro’s candidate and retired engineering military officer, Tarcisio Gomes de Freitas, by ten percentage points in the electoral polls.

In Rio de Janeiro, the PT leader fluctuates between 41 and 42 percent and the PL soldier remains at around 36. In Minas Gerais, Lula rose from 46 to 49 percent and Bolsonaro is far behind with 31 percent. According to Globo Advisor. the situation is much more difficult In Rio Grande do Sul, where the former president intends to cast 41 percent of the vote against the current president’s 37 percent. The result in the 2018 elections was completely different. The soldier who justified the dictatorship (1964–1985) got 63.24 percent and Hadad got 36.76 percent of the vote.

in a major northeastern statePernambuco will win the vote with 64 percent against 22-23 percent for PT Bolsonaro, Brasilia, the Federal District, is one of the few where the ruling party predominates and even widens the gap for the presidential candidacy. Bolsonaro fluctuated from 39 to 46 percent and Lula from 32 to 34 percent.

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In these days when all public support for candidates is weighed in carats, the support Lula received from various key sectors boosted her to win the election on Sunday. Former judges of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) such as Nelson Jobim – last to clarify it tomorrow – and celso de mello Declared his vote for the top reference of PT in the first round, joining the testimony of Joaquim Barbosa You Carlos Veloso, “Bolsonaro does not have the stature of a president and a high coefficient of mediocrity that has destroyed political prestige,” said De Mello, president of the STF between 1997 and 1999.

But where Lula has pushed several classes to establish herself is in the business world. Region Brazil Group who has been meeting since July 2022, had dinner with the PT candidate in Morumbi neighbourhood, on the night of Tuesday 27. Hundreds of its members – according to local media – gathered at Joo Camargo’s house from logistics and communications. , There were also many businessmen who were sympathetic to Bolsonaro. Lastly, businessmen want legal predictability and guarantees for their profit. Lula listened attentively to him. Too He sought support for an all-out fight against hunger and misery.

The current president did not focus this time on the So Paulo bourgeoisie and preferred to travel along the coastline around Santos. His supporters worked together for him and he pulled out almost all elections, even those that saw him make it to the second round. He promised that “everything would improve after re-election”, encouraged his flock by shouting that “they are not going to come back, because we are going to win in the first round” and against “gender ideology”. Repeated his barricades. ,, An authentic but edgy Bolsonaro who will once again face Lula and other presidential candidates in Rio de Janeiro today. Very different in his attitude towards the 2018 debates where he didn’t show his face. He knew that the election won him after he sustained a stab wound at a campaign rally in Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais. Surveys that are now ineligible.

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