Authors: Emily Deruy, Martha Ross and Julia Sulek, Bay Area News Group
As the voting time approaches 8 pm, Governor Gavin Newsom and his challengers made a final effort on election day to allow voters to participate in a recall, which will determine the political future of the leader of the Golden State and the current governor.
Newsom made a last-minute stop at a union hall in San Francisco early on Tuesday afternoon to thank the campaign volunteers for calling and texting party members on his behalf, and then went to Sacramento to watch the return. In Southern California, leading substitute candidate Larry Elder is preparing for what his campaign calls a “victory party” at a hotel in Orange County.
“We will change California,” Elder told supporters in a video posted on his Twitter page on Tuesday. “In fact, we will change the world.”
Let Gavin out-vote yes! https://t.co/03zo1f3O0M pic.twitter.com/cyb3TiBvfr
— Larry Elder (@larryelder) September 14, 2021
Republican businessman John Cox campaigned in 2018 and lost to Newsom. He ended a bus trip in Long Beach on Tuesday morning, where Newsom was campaigning with President Joe Biden on Monday night before heading to San Diego’s Lansdowne. Joe Santa Fe waited for the result. Reality star Caitlin Jenner voted in Beverly Hills City Hall in person.
Although the polls of potential voters are drawing to a close in the summer, recent surveys indicate that Newsom is likely to keep his job. A poll released Friday by the University of California, Berkeley Institute of Government found that Newsom leads by more than 20 percentage points, and 60.1% of possible voters said they plan to vote against the recall.
Nevertheless, anything can happen.
As of Tuesday afternoon, the political data company, which operates a well-respected election tracking system, reported that it had returned more than 9.4 million ballots—about 42% of the 22 million ballots distributed to active registered voters across the state. Although the Democrats returned more mailed votes, with the opening of the live polling center, Republican voter turnout has increased in recent days. By noon on Tuesday, Republicans, who accounted for about 24% of registered voters, accounted for about 26% of the returned votes. But they still lag behind the Democrats who make up about 47% of registered voters by one million votes.
Paul Mitchell, the vice president of Political Data, said that “to bridge this huge gap, voters who support the recall will need a massive influx” on Tuesday.
On Tuesday morning, the surge in support for the recall did not appear to be realized locally, even among residents who are not loyal fans of Newsom.
Alex Shivakl, who grew up in Danville and is now studying preparatory courses at the University of California, Davis, said he seriously considered voting for the recall because Newsom gave the impression of arrogance. If Newsom is to be re-elected next year, registered Democrats may also consider voting for another candidate in the primary election. But Shivakl finally voted against it in principle: he said the recall process was wrong and unfair, and said Newsom should be able to complete his four-year term.
Although Shivakr said that he personally would not “want to have dinner with Newson” and may not vote for him again, he did not think that the governor’s French laundry scandal would be detrimental to him, which helped to promote Support for the recall.
“His French laundry dinner is very bad,” Shvakel said. “But at the same time, if I say that I never made a mistake during the pandemic, then I am lying.”
Even before the poll was over and the results came out, Elder and some Republicans, including former President Donald Trump, hinted that the recall election might be fraudulent and unreliable without evidence.
Newsom fought back strongly against this idea during his stay in San Francisco.
He said: “This kind of election fraud is a mess.” “It’s shameful… I’ve grown up.”
“These people are actually undermining our democracy and undermining our trust in institutions,” Newsom continued. “People like me come and go, we pay a dime for a dozen… this has to do with our organization.”
The full-time photographer Karl Mondon made the report.