After a lot of things go right for Rich Strike to win the Kentucky Derby, he’ll need even more good luck in the Belmont Stakes with so much stacked against him.
rich strike 80-1. Won’t go at odds of more than This time, but he is not expected to be the horse to beat in the field of eight, even after Preakness is sidelined to run in the final stages of the Triple Crown. That Distinction 2-1 Morning Line Favorites We The PeopleA newcomer to the Triple Crown Trail who can set the pace in a 1 1/2-mile run and thrive when it rains in New York on Saturday.
If it’s the same wet track as We the People’s romp to victory in the Peter Pan Stakes at Belmont Park last month, trainer Mark Cass doesn’t like anyone else’s chances.
“We are all going to run for second, even Derby winner,” said Cass, who sets out to saddle the Golden Glider at Belmont. The Golden Glider finished second on May 14, behind We the People at Peter Pan.
Rich Strike outscored 19 other horses in shocking fashion on May 7 to become the second-highest long shot to win the Derby. It even took a myriad of factors: fast training at Churchill Downs a week ago, a return to the ethereal road to hit the ground running, a hot pace, perfect travel and the kind of acceleration he had never shown in a race before. .
“Is that the best of his lifetime? I don’t know,” said retired jockey Jerry Bailey. “History will tell us. But I think he has to run better than him to win.”
This is in part because horses usually do not run as fast as in the long Belmont, which is known as the “test of a champion”. The 154th edition of the race is shaping up to be particularly fast, with We the People Rich looking like the only speed horse to go up against the strike and six other closures on a large, sandy track leading to late duty. do not take sides.
“The mile-and-a-half is just a completely different race,” said Cass, who won the Belmont three years ago with Sir Winston. “You don’t want to be too far away.”
The responsibility for this rests on the jockey and most notably Rich Strike’s Sunny Leone, whose navigation through traffic in the derby will go down as one of the best rides in the history of the sport.
“We didn’t expect to get the trip we got because it’s awful to pass 19 horses,” trainer Eric Reid said this week. “Hats off to him. It’s one of the best rides ever.”
But Leon has never ridden at Belmont Park before and isn’t scheduled to mount on the main, dirt track before riding Rich Strike in the $1.5 million Belmont Stakes.
After seeing Calvin Borrell at the top of his game in 2009, with Derby winner Mine That Bird and other jockeys making the wrong decisions to make costly mistakes in the race, Bailey believes it will be a good one for Lyon. It’s a big job.
“He has a lot to think about,” said Bailey, who is now an NBC Sports analyst. “Belmont is different because you can really affect the trip you get. In the derby, he just outplayed him, so he just played the hand he was given. He can be pretty much in control of his hands.” If he chooses because he’s not going nearly far behind, he has to decide where he wants his horse to race and then when the time comes for the move, based on when he actually runs. That’s how fast — or in this case maybe how slow they’re going.”
It seems to be running slow. Others in the race, including Derby horses Mo Donegal and Barber Road, two behind Preakness In Creative Minster and SkippyLongstocking and Filmy Nest, the opening momentum is lacking.
It appears that if jockey Flavian Pratt can control the race then We The People is all set to go wire to wire.
“Flavian Pratt, does he slow down as much as he can and then try and end up with so much left they’ll never catch him?” Bailey said. “Does he try and spread the race somewhere in the middle and get the cushion? A lot of this will depend on how Flavian decides to run the race.”
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