Saturday, February 24, 2024

Five keys to understanding Trump’s victory in New Hampshire and a red alert

New Hampshire, a state in the northeastern part of the country, is a moderate and independent electorate, and with the high rate of university graduates, it is the last great chance for former governor Nikki Haley to stop the race of Donald Trump in the White House. If there is one state that will provide a change of direction in the internal Republican race, which is clearly on the way in favor of the magnate, this is the one. But it didn’t happen.

With nearly 90% of the votes counted, Trump’s margin of victory Wednesday morning was about 11 percentage points over Haley.

Here are some key results and a red flag for Trump:.

Path to nomination

It wasn’t a knockout blow, though the nomination is roughly defined

The margin of victory is just a little more than what Trump expected and the 18 points predicted by the polls. But Trump somehow won decisively on Tuesday by 54.7% to 43.2%, the only competition that remains. And he did it surrounded by his old opponents, who last week backed down or supported him

There is no Republican candidate He won the first two states and then lost the presidential nomination, a fact that Trump himself noted in his victory speech on Tuesday night, which also recalled his first victory in Iowa.

The surprising The Republican primary is over This is President Joe Biden. A few hours after the election closed, he said in a statement that “it is now clear that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee, and the message to the country is that what is at stake could not be more important. “Our democracy, our personal freedom,” said Biden, already in campaign mode.

Haley continued to fight, but the race was tough

Despite everything, the race for the nomination continues because the former governor of South Carolina and former ambassador to the United Nations He said he would not come down, and that will continue even until the primaries in his state on February 24, although in his district Trump is also leading in the polls, as in most of the country.

Haley stubbornly continues to fight to survive, even though she has a winding road that is very complicated. He will not compete in Nevada to focus on South Carolina, where the party’s heavyweights support Trump, who is first in the polls. up to 50 points. Trump’s campaign lead strategists, Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita, predicted that Haley would be “destroyed and humiliated” in South Carolina if she didn’t drop out of the race then.

Haley’s argument forward is that “under Trump, the Republicans lost almost every election,” referring to legislative elections in 2018 and 2022 and presidential elections in 2020. And the Democrats want to compete against the magnate. 52 years old, he also said that he is in need of “a new generation” in the White House. Trump is 77 years old, and Biden is 81 years old.

Trump wants Haley out.

The former president wants the nomination at the moment because he doesn’t want to spend a lot of time and money. He needed Haley to come down so he could focus on the wars to come: one against Joe Biden for the presidency and one in the courts to settle your accounts with justice.

In fact, on the day of Nevada’s next internal election, February 8, the Supreme Court is expected to hear oral arguments on whether the 14th Amendment should be removed from the ballot. Criminal charges are also pending in New York, Georgia, Florida, and Michigan on charges ranging from tax fraud to obstruction of justice to tampering with the results of the 2020 election.

Although Trump’s followers consider the trials against their leader a “witch hunt” and a “conspiracy of Democrats and the judiciary,” a conviction will hurt you among moderates and independents.

Some warning signs for Trump

Exit polls this Tuesday revealed some red flags for the former president’s campaign. Haley won 29% of the moderate-party vote. 44% say Trump would not be president if he were convicted of a crime. It is also supported by the majority of those who support abortion (69%), while Trump is in favor of banning it.

Abortion will be the central theme of the Democratic campaign. Haley also won 79% of the vote among those who said Biden legitimately won the 2020 election, indicating that there is a large portion of Republican voters who believe that Trump lied about the fraud.

All of this indicates that, although Trump may sweep in, there are few difficulties in attracting the most moderate vote, which is important to win the general election on November 5. Currently, Biden and Trump are tied to the polls, but the vote on the part of independents and Republicans who are not comfortable with the tycoon will be decisive.

Biden won his own election in New Hampshire

Democratic primaries were also held in New Hampshire, but there were no ballots with Biden’s name due to disagreements with the local party branch.

Although the president is assured of his party’s nomination, in recent days, the president’s militants have called for Biden’s name to be written by hand on the ballots because it would be a blow if he lost that one. state against unknown candidates such as Representative Dean Phillips and the writer Marianne Williamson. Finally Biden won with more than 60% of the vote.

World Nation News Desk
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