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Saturday, December 4, 2021

Furones: Who has the advantage? Dolphins (3-7) to Jets (2-7), in another issue to the rivalry | Analysis

Here’s a look at how the Miami Dolphins (3-7) and the New York Jets (2-7) match up in six key areas ahead of Sunday’s Week 11 game at Hard Rock Stadium (1:00 pm, CBS):

When dolphins run: The Jets are ranked 29th in the NFL, but I ended up giving the Dolphins an edge in that category after they couldn’t even run against the Houston Texans two weeks ago. Miami has the strongest attack in the NFL with a rotten 73.6 yards per game on the ground.

Running defenders Miles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed averaged 3.4 and 2.7 yards per shot, respectively. The offensive line should be able to get the best push thanks to how the team likes defenders Robert Hunt and Austin Jackson as they climb down the mountain, but that hasn’t paid off. Perhaps the re-inclusion of defender Tua Tagovailoa in the squad will open up opportunities for choosing the “run-pass” option in the current game.

The Jets have middle midfielder CJ Mosley leading the team in tackling with 72 in their 4-3 formation. Blocking former No. 3 pick Quinnen Williams (6ft 3, 303lbs) will be key to getting the game started. Edge: Jets

When planes start: The Dolphins have just repelled the ravens’ rushing attack, so right now I really appreciate this defense of Miami. Sure, this is a different dynamic stoppage of Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson’s scrambling ability than the traditional rush attack, but the Dolphins have kept opponents from dashing less than 100 yards away in four of their last five games, including the Ravens cap to 94.

Rookie Jets running back Michael Carter spearheads New York’s fast-paced attack, but former North Carolina Tar Heal will not be fighting Hurricanes Manny Diaz’s Miami defenses this time around. Carter has a 3.6 yards carry this season and is spoken by Ty Johnson and Tevin Coleman. Carter and Johnson are also interception threats.

The key to protecting the Dolphins from running was the return of Raekwon Davis to the bow run. Ever since he seriously returned from a knee injury, Miami has been difficult to run with. Expect inside midfielder and lead attacker Jerome Baker (54 tackles) to return to his traditional outlook after being heavily used at the edge against the Ravens to keep Jackson out of the sideline defenders. Edge: Dolphins

When dolphins pass: Tagovailoa’s broken middle finger on his throwing arm is improving to the point where it increases his training load, and coach Brian Flores named him a starter earlier in the week after leaving him off the bench for substitute Jacobi Brissette in his last two wins. Tagovailoa entered the second half against the Ravens to go 8 of 13 for 158 yards and land quickly.

He said he shouldn’t have any limits on the shots he can take against the Jets. Against Baltimore, he almost demonstrated just how far he can get the ball with a 35-yard pass to the sideline with an arc that found receiver Jaylen Waddle, who is the sixth-most takedown NFL player with 60. Miami managed to score several games that resulted in breakdowns in the Ravens’ secondary game, resulting in a 64-yard pass from Tagovailoa to Albert Wilson and one of 52 yards from Brissette to Isaiah Ford.

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The Jets’ passing defense can also have some bugs, ranking 31st in the NFL. They only intercepted two passes all season so they didn’t have much of an impact on turnover, but they could get a pass to the Dolphins offensive line: Williams sent five sacks and John Franklin-Myers defended with four. Edge: Dolphins

When planes pass: Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson still hasn’t fully recovered from a knee injury and Mike White, a former local Varsity high school champion who made four interceptions against the Bills last week, Jets coach Robert Saleh is going with veteran Joe Flacco. Some think Flacco is more adept at handling the anticipated Dolphin blitz that Miami has come in droves over the past two wins, especially over Jackson and the Ravens.

The 36-year-old has only made three passes this season after losing to the Bills last week, but they all competed with one for touchdown. Flacco started last year’s 24-0 shutout to the Dolphins in Miami and went 21 of 44 for 186 yards and an interception. Serious threats will need to be heeded by Corey Davis and Keelan Cole, former high schools of St. Thomas Aquinas and Elijah Moore, as well as slot machine players Jamison Crowder and Braxton Berrios, a University of Miami alumnus.

The Dolphins full-back tandem of Xavien Howard and Byron Jones looks healthy from leg injuries earlier in the season. They’ve gotten into shape recently, allowing the Miami Defense to play singles and blitz defense of Jevon Holland and Brandon Jones. Over the past two victories, Dolphins have made six conclusions. Howard became AFC Defensive Player of the Week after trying to find the ball and regaining a touchdown recovery in his win in Baltimore. Edge: Dolphins

Special commands: Jets kicker Matt Ammendola is 10 out of 13 this season with all penalties over 40 yards. He also missed an extra point. Dolphins kicker Jason Sanders is 12 out of 16 and connected on all 17 point-ups.

Dolphin player Michael Palardi averages 44.2 yards on his boat. He had his problems, but the combination of him and McHollins’ gunner is usually good for a punt shot deep into enemy territory at least once per game. Last week, the Jets returned to Braden Mann as a player. Berrios has handled both kicking and antlers well for New York, but the Jets switched over to Coleman in the opening matches last week. Edge: Even

Intangible assets: The Dolphins have the advantage of entering the field after two consecutive victories, one of which is upset over the Ravens, and are better rested after the weekend after Thursday night’s game. Miami have had success in the streak recently, beating two games last year and winning six of their last seven meetings, but even when one team loses, interesting things can happen in this historic rivalry. Edge: Dolphins

FORECAST: Dolphins 24, Jets 17

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