Although Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock leads Republican opponent Herschel Walker in the polls, the political analysis blog FiveThirtyEight considers the difference to be very slight.
Already in the midterm elections on November 8, Warnock received 49.4 percent of the vote and Walker 48.5 percent, but state law only counts the one who wins an absolute majority, that is, receives more than half of the ballots.
As FiveThirtyEight points out, while other Georgia Republicans won their races easily, the Democrat’s campaigning and fundraising prowess and the conservative’s multiple scandals helped send this race into the runoff.
Controversies involving Walker, a former football star, include his history of abusing women and the fact that he portrayed himself as an anti-abortion candidate and allegedly paid for the voluntary termination of a girlfriend’s pregnancy. did.
The special page calculated polling averages and determined that as of yesterday afternoon, Warnock had an average of 50.2 percent support, while Walker had 48.2 percent.
FiveThirtyEight insisted, “This is not a prediction of the final results, a summary of polls conducted for the runoff.”
However, the source reminded that the purpose of the polls is only for estimation, not for predicting winners.
According to the Election Project site, more than one million 860 thousand people cast their early votes for this day’s voting.
If Democrats win, they would increase their narrow majority in the Senate to 51, and if they were Republican, they would receive seat number 50, keeping the balance of power as it has been with the tiebreaking vote. . Vice President Kamala Harris’s hands.
In the mid-term elections last month, the House of Representatives was left in the hands of the red-identified ranks, after a dispute over 435 seats, they obtained 222 seats, while the blue ones won 213.