Sunday, February 25, 2024

Javier Milei, Lula da Silva and the cost of dogmatism

The president will send to the neighboring country second level entourageled by his chancellor, Mauro Vieiraa fact that, unfortunately, the radical right in the region has started to become a bad habit.

With a greater political margin than Vieira to speak, Amorim pointed the statements to The globe: “From what I know of President Lula, I think it will be difficult for him to go because personally hurt. However, the State of Brazil will be represented.” During the campaign, Milei called the Brazilian several times a “communist” -one of two: He doesn’t know who he is or he doesn’t know what communism is.– and even “thief in prison for something”although it was finally dismissed and vindicated by the Federal Supreme Court (STF).

After emphasizing the continuation of, at least, “a relationship with the State,” Amorim added that “it is possible to have a good bond, even between presidents of different ideologies. Everything depends on the ability of putting the interests of the State above the personal We can do it; Let’s see if the elected president of Argentina is one too. We hope so.

Know, finally, the weight of his insults and the consequences of the rush, on the night of November 19, to invite Bolsonaro – a contempt for Lula da Silva, the ultimate enemy of the neighbor who former president -, Milei later said that the Brazilian “welcome” the president at his inauguration. Cold…

Then he sent the future chancellor, Diana Mondinoto relax the relationship, while he traveled, contrary to tradition, to Washington to announce the Joe Biden –another one he revealed at the time– aligning it with the United States and the “free world”.

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Javier Milei, Lula Da Silva And The Cost Of Dogmatism

The confirmation of Daniel Scioli as ambassador is another positive gesture – for the country and the next government, not so much for Peronism in its role as the new opposition – but clearly not enough so far.

The next one is Bolsonaro. Ineligible for elections until 2030 and investigated in various judicial cases, including one for an attempted coup, his lawyers informed the Supreme Court judge. Alexandre de Moraes that he will be in Buenos Aires between the 7th and 11th of this month and that he will not travel with a passport, but with his home identity document.

Bolsonaro, it seems, “is a good Brazilian.”

Javier Milei spends, the country pays

It costs political credit, of course, one that must channel trade and trust to negotiate conflicts that can arise at any time and are often resolved by presidents. That is impossible if the minarchist keeps his promise “don’t deal with communists”. If so, pay for Argentina’s economywhich itself is subject to the storm.

A lot is at stake. Despite the effects of the drought and the ultra stocks, which caused a drop of more than 20% in bilateral trade, Brazil remains the main trading partner from the country.

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Javier Milei, Lula Da Silva And The Cost Of Dogmatism

Between January and October, that country is the main destination of national exports, along with 17.6% of the totalfollowed by the United States and China, with 8.3% and 8.2%, respectively. However, due to the greater number of its sales in our country, the power of Asia is our second trading partner. A known detail, but worth highlighting: China is another communist country where, he said, Milei does not want anything to do.

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Javier Milei, Lula Da Silva And The Cost Of Dogmatism

Beyond anger

Whether Lula da Silva will come or not and that Beijing celebrated the decision of the next Argentine government to leave BRICS through its ambassador in Colombia are not important facts. in the background, nodal themes are played.

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Javier Milei, Lula Da Silva And The Cost Of Dogmatism

On the one hand, Milei and Mondino have already said “no” to the club of large developing countries, rejecting a formidable source of investment from pure McCarthyism in infrastructure even if it is scarce due to the announced withdrawal of the State and the caution that the private sector will show while waiting for the national macro to become something a little presentable.

On the other hand, we must understand that Lula da Silva did not show his teeth just because of anger. The man who has pardoned and added to his administration is now the people who forced him to jail and who did everything to separate him. Dilma Rousseff of the government based on the smelly scheme do not send the goods. After the Argentine mockery of BRICS, he expects Milei to decide whether he will listen to the demands of the industrial and agricultural Red Circle or surrender to his vision that “Mercosur must be abolished because it is a flawed customs union that harms good Argentines.”

The Uruguayan Luis Lacalle Pou It’s another one waiting for signs on this, though for the opposite reasons.

A shame: the world becomes a parachute

As said and repeated in WAKE and on Letter Pthe forced landing to which the national economy will be subjected will facilitate the use of all possible parachutes. The BRICS will not be used; Nor in Mercosur?

while Ramiro Marra He emerged as the head of advisers at Milei, his consulting firm, Bull market, made noise by releasing a report for its clients. The work shows, according to a note from Letter Pwhich provides more important information, namely Toto Caputo “Evaluated all possibilities to build a small pool of new dollars and spend the first months of the Milei government in a scenario of scarce reserves. dollars and will bring the economy to the threshold of dollarization in March“. It will be?

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Javier Milei, Lula Da Silva And The Cost Of Dogmatism

What’s more, the analysis, which will assume a second megadevaluation before the release of the stocks, is something that announced this Tuesday newsletter in is the portal – speculated on a medium-term replacement of Caputo by Federico Sturzenegger.

Toto surrounds himself with unconditional fans –Santiago BausiliWHAT was dismissed on Tuesday in a case due to negotiations that are not compatible with the public service, go to the Central Bank and Federico Furiase will occupy another important position – so such an assumption, if realized, is a shock. Why did Marra’s consultant say what he said?

Change in growth threatens to bring inflation to 40% In the first two months of next year, unions and social movements are preparing to take to the streets and Mauricio Macri He stood as the first anti-Peronist defender of the paleolibertarian government.

while, Guillermo Francos It continues to show signs that many things that have been said may not be fulfilled for the administration: it is not true that there are no public works or closing the door in the faces of the governors. Seeing is believing.

If that is the concern, is it good or bad for the future administration the danger of disbanding the UCR? In principle, anything that further dismantles the system of parliamentary representation widens the window of opportunity to force impactful reforms from the ground up.

World Nation News Desk
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