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Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Miami Heat Odds, Picks and Predictions at Toronto Raptors

heat of miami (50-28) Visit Scotiabank Arena on Sunday to play Toronto Raptors (45-32) at 7 p.m. ET. below, we see Heat vs Raptors Odds and LinesAnd choose our expert NBA, make predictions and bets.

Miami beat the Bulls 127-109 for their third straight win in Chicago on Saturday, followed by a four-game loss. Heats are 3-4 against spreads (ATS) in that period.

Toronto finished fifth in the Eastern Conference, a half-game in front of the Bulls with 5 games remaining. The Raptors are on a 5-game winning streak (5-0 ATS), with the latest being a 102-89 win over the Magic in Orlando on Friday.

The Raptors are 2-1 Straight Up (SU) and ATS vs. The Heat, which included back-to-back victories in their one-on-one series. The total is 2-1 over/under (o/u).

Heat, Spread, and Lines on Raptor Odds

Odds as provided by Tipico Sportsbook; Access the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 1:18 PM ET.

  • Money Line (ml): Heat +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Raptors-170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against spread: Heat +3.5 (-108) | Raptor -3.5 (-112)
  • over under: 212.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Heat major injuries on Raptors

Heat (not submitted yet)

Raptors

Heat on Raptor Odds, Lines, Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Raptor 111, Heat 102

money Line

Passed with a heavy “lean” towards the Raptors (-170), as they have a dominant strength-on-weakness Leading on Heat (+135) in ball safety.

For example, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), the Raptors have the highest defensive turnover rate (TOV%) and the fourth worst offensive TOV% in the heats.

In addition, Toronto enjoys the second-highest number of points per game turnover and Miami ranks 20th in allowed turnover points per game.

That said, the Raptors (-170) are a bit out of my price range for this spot so I’ll keep points with Toronto instead.

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against the spread

bet Raptors -3.5 (-112) Heat for 1 unit at +3.5 (-108) due to their aforementioned edge in ball safety and this is a Pros vs Jose Scenarios in the Betting Market, With Estimates Spicy Money on Toronto.

According to Pregame.com, there’s a little bit of cash on the Raptors, but about three-quarters of the bets are on the Heat. Since then wise Guys betting more money than the public, usually considered the cash column of the betting division Spicy towards the market.

Plus, it’s a better place for Toronto than Miami. The Raptors have a slightly higher ATS winning percentage than teams with winning records, while the Heat are 5-7-1 ATS as 3-to-4.5-point underdogs and struggle in second-to-back .

Miami has 1-6 ATS in the last 7 games played without rest and has a minus-3.6 adjusted net rating (ranked 20) and a minus-2.4 ATS margin (ranked 24) in back-to-back second this season . , per ctg.

to take Raptors -3.5 (-112) Unless Toronto’s ML-150 goes south, I’ll bet the Raptors SU.

over under

Passed Because my numbers align with the market’s predicted score, this total has no value to me.

For what it’s worth, Toronto is 38-39 o/u and 11-9 o/u when playing with rest advantage while Miami is 44-32-1 o/u and 9-4 o/u on zero rest days So I “lean” over 212.5 (-115).

But, most of the action is on the overs and the total hasn’t progressed beyond the opener, so it could be a mesh line Over backers.

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