Chicago Cubs host Milwaukee Brewers The first pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field on Thursday, opening day. Let’s analyze the lines from Tipico Sportsbook Brewers vs Cubs Difference With MLB Picks and Predictions.
Season Series: The Brewers won the previous season’s series with the Cubs 15–4, including an 8–2 record in Chicago, leading the Cubs 124–67.
Milwaukee won the National League Central with a record of 95–67, but was eliminated 3–1 by the eventual champion Atlanta Braves in the NLDS.
Chicago finished fourth with a record of 71–91 after winning the NL Central in 3 of the last 5 seasons, including a 2016 World Series win.
Brewers in the Cubs: Estimated Beginnings
RHP Corbin Burns Vs RHP Kyle Hendrix
Burns won the 2021 NL Cy Young, finishing 11-5 in only 167.0 IP, but he led the majors in ERA (2.43) and K/9 (12.6).
- 2021 vs Cubs: 2-0 in a 1.35 ERA (20.0 IP, 3 ER), 9H, 36K and 3 BB.
- vs Cubs on current roster: .220 batting average (BA), .291 WOBA, .385 expected slugging percentage (XSLG), 2.87 FIP 66 plate with 39.4 k% and 92.9 mph with exit speed (EV) Attendance (PA) in .
Hendrix is Chicago’s opening day starter for the third time. He was 14-7 in 181.0 IP last season, but with the worst ERA of career (4.77) and WHIP (1.35).
- 2021 vs. Brewers: 1-1 in 6.14 ERA (22.0 IP, 15 ER), 28 H, 19K and 5 BB4 starts.
- Versus the brewers on the current roster: .242 BA, .291 wOBA, .369 xSLG, 3.23 FIP with 85.7 mph EV in 23.3 K% and 253 PA.
Brewers at Cubs Odds, Spreads and Lines
Odds as provided by Tipico Sportsbook; Access the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list. Lines last updated at 12:32 PM ET.
- Money Line (ml): brewers -175 (bet to win $175) | Cubs +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run Line (RL)/Against Spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (-110) | Cubs +1.5 (+110)
- over/under (o/u): 10.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Brewers on Cub Prediction and Selection
Brewers 7, Cubs 2
bet Brewers (-175) 1 for Unit because they beat the Cubs (+140) in 9 of their last 10 meetings last season and Chicago did not make any notable upgrades this season.
Also, Burns was dominant versus the Cubs in 2021 and the Brewers have won 7 games in a row with Burns as the road favorite on the mound.
Also, Chicago was terrible against right-handed pitching last season, placing 23rd in WRC+, 19th in WOBA, and last in BB/K vs.
In the end, even if Hendrix gives the Cubs a quality outing, Milwaukee’s lineup can certainly rally against this formidable Chicago bullpen. The Cubs were 28th in reliever WAR, 22nd in xFIP and 25th in home runs per 9 innings as a platoon after the All-Star break.
Brewers (-175) Expensive but on the right side as they have a decisive edge over the Cubs (+140).
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Against the run line/spread
Lean Brewers -1.5 (-110) Since last season he had the fourth best ATS record in division games at 45–31 RL and the Cubs were just 35–41 RL against +1.5 (-110) NL Central foes.
However, I would prefer to stick with Milwaukee’s ML because the Brewers’ strength is their pitching and their lineup was underperformed in 2021.
Bending down to 10.5 (-125) Because I’m looking forward to another solid bounce-back season from Hendrix and Burns has some great things to do in baseball.
That said, this total is high and it seems oddmakers are begging for less money than 10.5 (+100). an. my biggest concern with Under 10.5 (-125) There is a weather forecast that predicts winds of more than 20 mph in the center area.
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