“Live free or die.”. The official motto of New Hampshire This takes on a special dimension this Tuesday, when the small state of 1.4 million inhabitants in the northeastern United States is famous for the political weight of moderates and independents celebrating their primaries to choose their presidential nominee for November. In the Republican field, the polls decided a bitter and more aggressive game between Donald Trump and Nikki Haley. And it will depend on his dictation whether what feels more like a mirage lives or dies: the idea that there is a path in America’s conservative party that goes through someone other than the former president.
Eight days after the Iowa caucuses, where he achieved a poor result of 19% compared to the overwhelming and historic 51% of Trump and also behind 21% of Ron DeSantisHaley, there has finally been the duel between the two that I’ve been dreaming of following the sudden exit of the governor of Florida from the race on Sunday. But the model of a dear-to-dear WHAT will be effective in 2016 to stop Trump. It is watering in 2024.
Trump is, more than ever, the opposite colossal. The number of legal issues In many fields, including four criminal cases with 91 charges, more than a dozen of which came from trying to defeat his electoral defeat in 2020, they not only did not damage his candidacy but strengthened it. The former president was able to spread the idea among Republicans that he was suffering from “political persecution” and “Find a witch,” that the severity of the attack on the Capitol, and that the legitimacy of the presidency of Joe Biden.
Moreover, the dedication of his base is unwavering, and his devotion to Trump has become widely recognized as a direct cult. Prominent party figures are already closing ranks around him, with more joining day by day. And in a center of power like Wall Street, the obstacles to opposition or opposition to a nomination that they let fall are increasing.
However, New Hampshire Haley is closer in the polls, but the former Trump ambassador to the United Nations remains far from second place (more than 13 points this Monday, according to an average held by FiveThirtyEight). Although since November it has doubled its number, driven in part to leave the race, Chris ChristieTrump also managed to increase 6%, and according to the polls, he will benefit the most on Tuesday from the latest withdrawals of Vivek Ramaswamy and, in particular, DeSantis.
son even worse Even for Haley, his prospects for the next state of contention, including the appointment on February 23 where he was the governor of South Carolina, where he will suffer more than a loss of humility, which has already started with symbolic support for Trump from people like Tim Scott, the former presidential candidate he appointed as a senator, or the current governor, Henry McMaster.
Only a win on Tuesday, or a second-place finish closer to what the polls predicted, would solidify the idea that he has anything to do against a steamroller rival like Trump. The number of big donors, like the Koch brothers, continue to fight with other states and inject funds, at least until Tuesday (March 5, when 16 states and territories vote). And from his farm, he makes sure that whatever happens in New Hampshire continues. “How do you eat an elephant? Bite by bite, said Betsy Ankney, who managed Haley’s campaign. She asked that she was “not undervalued” and recalled that the Iowa results could be read as “50% of voters said they wanted something new.”
It becomes very difficult, in any case, not to see New Hampshire as a non-combustible state. Some of its major donors also said they were waiting to see the results before making decisions. Haley’s hopes of overcoming him rested on the independent, which represents 40% of voters in the state and can vote in a partially open primary, and moderate in his party.
she MESSAGES where he tries to convince them is that of an ALTERNATIVES. On the one hand, the candidate assured that he will avoid another battle between Trump and Joe Biden, he will get better results than the former president in November according to the polls, and he will give way to a necessary generational change given the high age of the two candidates (77 years old Trump and 81 years old Biden now), and he could prevent a potential Kamala Harris presidency if the Democrat wins and something happens to him during his term. On the other hand, his proposal includes avoiding a potential second term for Trump, which he associated with “chaos.”
After months of holding back his attacks on Trump, a strategy that DeSantis also follows and that seeks not to anger the base most loyal to the former president, Haley has strengthened them in recent days. And he wants to make blood, which Trump refused after recently confusing him with Nancy Pelosi to make sure that Biden starts the Second World War (he meant the third) or that he defeats Barack Obama (he defeated Hillary Clinton).
It doesn’t seem like enough to balance the insults and attacks that Trump, his allies, and his team have launched against him. Besides accusing him of being “globalist,” “republican in name only,” “working for the Democrats,” or questioning his positions on taxes, immigration, or foreign policy, he often called him “ankle.”. Following the same racist manual When he questioned the American citizenship of Obama or Harris, the former president asked if Haley could legally become president, falsely saying that her parents, immigrants from India, were not legal citizens of the United States. when he was born. He likes to use one of his first names, Nimarata, which is written and pronounced incorrectly. And campaign spokesman Steven Cheung was ironic when Haley highlighted Trump’s “confusion.” “He must be confused that he has any real choice,” he said.