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Friday, January 27, 2023

Newsom’s dire warning helped turn the tide of California recalls

Authors: MICHAEL R. BLOOD and KATHLEEN RONAYNE

Los Angeles (Associated Press)-The ominous four-character message issued by California Governor Gavin Newsom’s campaign on the morning of August 5 made the Democrats take seriously the election that might remove him: “This recall Is closed.”

Newsom’s warning in a fundraising email came just days after a poll indicated the once-popular Democratic governor who was elected in a 2018 landslide was facing the unthinkable prospect of losing his job in a state that hadn’t elected a Republican in a statewide race in 15 years.

The game was “close enough to start thinking about what it would be like if we had a Republican governor in California. I’m sorry to make you think of this idea, but it’s true,” Newsom’s campaign team wrote.

The alarmist information was quickly incorporated into Newsom’s remarks during the campaign-he warned that he was in serious trouble. Together, this series of events created a turning point in the campaign and helped stimulate the vitality of California’s dominant Democratic voters, who seemed to shrug their shoulders to welcome the game.

On Tuesday, Newsom easily rejected attempts to retire him for less than three years in his first term. The incomplete return indicated that he was heading for a landslide victory with approximately 65% ​​of the vote.

Newsom strategist Sean Clegg said this week that an important lesson of Newsom’s decisive victory is “you can wake up the base.” “The base may be asleep…but you can wake the base.”

Newsom’s victory also provided him with a dramatic comeback story. He is likely to use this story to expand his reputation before the 2022 re-election campaign, while seeking to bring his name back to discussions about future presidential candidates. middle.

The Los Angeles-based Democratic consultant said that the narrative that focused on the Republican Party’s uneasy threat in the nation’s most populous state “turned into a self-fulfilling prophecy, and the more you talk about it, the more concerned (the Democrats). “Michael Trujillo did not participate in the election.

For Democrats, the fear of losing the California governorship also opened up national fundraising channels, which gave Newsom a huge cash advantage over his competitors. This concern also provides a point of contact for minority communities on how their lives will change with the conservative Republican governor of Sacramento.

Newsom also benefited from other key moments in the campaign. His campaign and other factors involving accident and even luck made strategic decisions.

The state’s collection of surprising unexpected taxes resulted in a record surplus, allowing Newsom to allocate billions of dollars in funding for a range of projects, from cleaning up garbage to early education and homelessness.

Democrats said Newsom was a fortunate turn. When the conservative talk show host Larry Elder ran in July, the election was reshuffled. The lawyer and writer who could have become the first black governor of the state soon became the main foil for Newsom, and the match became the focus of voters in a one-on-one format.

Elder ran the campaign with conservative liberal principles that were incompatible with many left-leaning voters in the state.

He is a supporter of former President Donald Trump, who is a much criticized figure outside of California conservatives. Elder was critical of Roe v. Wade’s landmark decision on abortion rights. He opposed the minimum wage and promised to abolish Newsom’s life-saving state vaccine and mask regulations.

In Elder’s campaign, Newsom seized the opportunity to define this election as a competition between two very different California future visions. He has repeatedly warned that progressive values ​​on the environment, health care, and women’s rights are being voted on, while Elder heralds the return of the “Trumpism” era.

Elder inspired the conservative base, but gave the Democratic Party a clear enemy.

“Larry Elder handed them so many gifts on the plate. He is actually the opposite of most California voters,” said Dana Williamson, former Democratic California Governor Jerry before Newsom Brown’s senior advisor.

Ron Nelling, the former chairman of the California Republican Party and a supporter of Republican candidate Kevin Faulkner, said that Elder was “Gavin Newson’s lifeguard” because he gave the governor a goal and directed attention away from himself. ‘S records have been transferred.

Newsom recalled with advantages that other state governors did not possess.

In California, Democrats have a huge advantage over Republicans in terms of numbers—close to 2 to 1, or about 5 million voters. As the target of the recall, the political committee supporting Newsom was allowed to raise unlimited funds, which allowed him to have the cash to place advertisements on TV screens.

By the end of August, the main committee supporting Newson had raised nearly $70 million. In contrast, the two committees supporting Elder’s campaign raised approximately $15 million.

Newsom also has the support of America’s largest state Democrats and the politically powerful public workers’ union-his campaign said that 25,000 volunteers took to the streets during the weekend before the election.

At the same time, infighting broke out among Republican candidates. The Republican Party never seemed to have a unified strategy—the party considered supporting a candidate and then gave up. After the Republican National Committee donated $250,000 (most of which went to the state party), Republicans across the country remained largely on the sidelines.

Another key advantage of Newsom is that his campaign successfully excluded alternative votes from any established Democrats. Newsom’s strategists are cautious about the historical background: voters expelled Democrat Gray Davis in the 2003 recall election, who faced an internal party challenge from Lieutenant Cruz Bustamante.

Bustamante’s appearance on the ballot gave the Democrats a viable option instead of the unpopular Davis and Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger who ultimately won.

Newsom’s campaign team also pointed out that the emergence of highly contagious delta variants is a factor in the rescheduling of the game, especially since Elder has become the main competitor of the Republican Party.

“We see the delta wave as a real turning point in this movement. I think this is a turning point for us,” Clegg said. “Delta clearly and clearly focused on the stakes of this election. At that time, a political party had basically become an anti-science, anti-vaccine, and anti-public health party.”

When talking about Elder, he said that this game can be refined into one sentence: “This recall is to vote for the pro-Trump, anti-vaccine Republican governor, and he will overturn the vaccine regulations on the first day.”

World Nation News Desk
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