10 best games to bet
TEXANS. jets in
1 p.m., Texan until 3 p.m., 44
Hank’s Honey: It may be hard to believe, But the Jets are the better team and the Texans are preferred for the first time all year. Even with Tyrod Taylor back on the QB, the Texans are still challenged aggressively, totaling 200 yards in their upsets last week. As bad as the Jets’ defense is, it should at least hold its own. After watching two other quarterbacks play ahead of him, Zack Wilson should be motivated enough to take advantage of a soft secondary in his chance to prove himself. Houston is stuck between divisional games here with the Colts on deck, making it a tough spot for the home favorite.
If I were a betting man: jet and below.
GIANTS. in eagles
1 p.m., Eagles 3:30 p.m. 46
Hank’s Honey: The Giants continue to wallow in their own sub-mediocre, while the Eagles, now pushing Nick Siriani’s running game, are playing their best football of the year. Canning Jason Garrett isn’t going to fix Big Blue’s offensive woes in a week; Philly still has a big advantage where it matters – in the trenches. And calling Freddy’s Kitchen plays? Remember his Brown crime? It’s going to take a big effort from the Giants’ defense to keep it close and we all saw how much they miss Logan Ryan. Not crazy about Hook, but we’d go with only one of these teams that still has playoff hopes.
If I were a betting man: Eagles and Under.
COLTS. in BUCS
1 p.m., Books 2 , 52
Hank’s Honey: The Colts’ entire offense revolves around handing the ball to Jonathan Taylor, who did a great job at Buffalo last week. But it is a very good run defense that will bring back his best run stopper in the Vita V. It boils down to this game for Carson Wentz against Tom Brady and in that case, no case is made for the Colts. We’ll admit that Tampa Bay has been a terrible road team this season with a 0-5 ATS record, but it has to stop somewhere. With the spread under a field goal, here’s the spot.
If I were a betting man: Bucks and Overs.
Brown in Ravens
8:20 PM, Ravens 4, 45
Hank’s Honey: Although we are careful about giving more than one FG in a huge divisional game, we are missing out on the Browns. Worried much before the season even started, they are coming back from their historically poor form and achieving less again. Baker Mayfield is bumped and frustrated, not a good combination against a nearby crowd that might swarm him. Cleveland’s offense has failed to cross 17 points in five of the last six games and the exception came against the Bengals in a win heavily aided by turnover. Lamar Jackson is expected to return, although his health is still an issue. With question marks around both QBs, we’re heavy on the bottom.
If I were a betting man: Ravens and Under.
Packers in Rams
4:25 PM, Packers 1, 47
Hank’s Honey: Sean McVay’s 4-1 ATS record after the bye should be respected, but it’s not a perfect bounce-back spot against the Packers at Frosty Lambeau Field. Green Bay’s defense allowed only 11 points per game at home and this Rams offense has problems. Their running game has recently failed them and their O-line is susceptible to pressure in the middle, following Packers old friend Matthew Stafford (3-7 straight as a Lions at Green Bay). Can get it. After starting the season with impressive wins against the Colts and Bucs, the Rams are 0-3 against SU and ATS teams with .500 and better. Aaron Rodgers might have a hobby, but we see him out in this one, not needing many points for the W.
If I were a betting man: Packers and Under.
falcons in jaguars
1 p.m., Falcons 1, 46
Hank’s HoneyTrevor Lawrence has not thrown a touchdown pass in three games. Usually in the trademark of bad teams, the Jaguars have come back to kill themselves with punishments, mistakes and general folly. Matt Ryan is pitting behind that offensive line and should be able to give the Jaguar defense a push, but he has more weapons at his disposal with the return of Kyle Pitts and Cordrell Patterson. The Falcons were terrible against the Pats and Cowboys, two of the NFL’s best, but have done extremely well against the NFL’s lower feeders with covers against the Jets, Giants, and Dolphins. Shouting down here.
If I were a betting man: Falcon and Under.
PATRIOTS. in TITANS
1 p.m., Patriots 5:30 p.m., 44
Hank’s Honey: As impressive as the Patriots have been, we hesitate to put all these points against one of the best teams in the AFC. Throw out the Texans’ loss to Tennessee last week. It was a bad place for them after such an impressive win and an uncharacteristically poor play by Ryan Tanhill. Mike Wrabel has defeated his old boss as an underdog in each of their two meetings, and he will keep his team ready. The Patriots have made only four offensive TDs in their last three victories, while the Titans defense, led by a lesser front four, has held four of their last nine foes to 22 or fewer points. The Pats would win but it would be a squeak.
If I were a betting man: Titans and Under.
Seahawks in Washington
Monday, 8:15 pm, Washington 1, 46
Hank’s Honey: Currently, Taylor Heinke is defeating Russell Wilson, who hasn’t looked the same since coming back from his injured finger. If the Seahawks are going to get their chance, they will have to return to form as Seattle can’t handle the ball and its defense can’t be relied upon. Despite losing Chase Young, the Burgundy and Gold defense are two of their best performances of the year. Meanwhile, Henki is lucky that Terry McLaurin has an aristocracy at unheard of WR. After allowing Colt McCoy to torch 328 yards without DeAndre Hopkins, the Seahawks secondary have no answer against the WFT combo.
If I were a betting man: Washington and over.
Broncos. in chargers
4:05 pm, Chargers 2 , 47
Hank’s Honey: Justin Herbert, finally freed by the game plan, broke against the Steelers and must continue here against a defense that finished 27th in the third down stop. The Chargers leave a lot of yards on the ground and Denver have two good backs but Herbert’s breakthrough could take the Broncos into the air. The Broncos are coming off their goodbyes, but not necessarily a positive 7-13 ATS this year with those teams. You’ve had a problem with winning at home this season, while the Chargers are a 5-0 ATS within the division this season. With numbers under the field goal, we’ll go with the better team.
If I were a betting man: Chargers and over.
Panthers in Dolphins
1 p.m. Panthers 1, 42
Hank’s Honey: Cam Newton was the feel good story of the week but he was barely fit against the Washington Whites. He never even attempted to throw the ball downfield (189 yards in total) and, thus, was unable to transfer the team after falling behind. Miami’s defense has performed well on the team’s three-match winning streak and shouldn’t have much trouble against a one-man team, even if the man is Christian McCaffrey. Meanwhile, Tua Tagovailoa is playing his best football. The Panthers have good defensive stats but a lot of that is built up against weak offenses. With the Dolphins on a three-game winning streak and playing close to pre-season expectations, they are an attractive home underdog in low-scoring games.
If I were a betting man: dolphin and below.
look but don’t touch
49ERS. on vikings
4:25 p.m., Niners until 3 p.m., 48
Hank’s Honey: Both teams have momentum as they try to put together a playoff push after a slow start so it really is a coin flip. The situation favors the Niners, who are recovering from an emotional victory over their biggest rival against a team traveling to the West Coast. But, if the Vikings are able to run against a defense that has had a hard time stopping (4.5 ypc), Kirk Cousins will feast on play action as Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen find themselves single. The Vikings are 5-0 ATS as an underdog and the Niners are 0-4 ATS as home favourites. We look for a lot of points to make the over the strongest bet.
Can’t Help Myself?: Vikings and Over.
the best of the rest
BENGALS. in steelers
1 pm, Bengal 3:30 pm, 45
If I were a betting man: Steelers and over.
Best bet of the week: Washington. Hail Hennix.
Last week: 7-8
over under: 87-78
best bets: 7-4