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Wednesday, January 19, 2022

Pac-12 Basketball Power Ratings: UCLA, USC and Arizona Continue to Separate from the Pack

The first NET rankings of the season, which were released earlier this week, were similar to the Pac-12, as you might expect after all the unfair non-conference losses.

That is to say, they were accepting only three teams, some more tolerant and outright dismissive of the public.

Arizona and USC rounded out the top 10, while UCLA is in a strong 30s.

But that’s it.

If we assume that only the top 40 teams at the end of the regular season can be considered locked in a large field for the NCAA Tournament, the Pac-12 is likely looking at three average bids.

Yes, the rankings will change as conference play ramps up, but not necessarily for the better. The metrics underpinning the NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET), which replaced the RPI several years ago, rely heavily on non-conference results in November and December.

In that regard, the most important development for the Pac-12 in the initial NET rankings was not the number of teams at the top level, but, rather, the amount of lower feeders.

A quarter of the convention is currently ranked in the 200s: Washington (No. 214), Arizona State (No. 221) and Oregon State (No. 267).

He compares… poorly.

– Number of teams ranked 200 or less in the net, according to the Power Six conference:

Pac-12: three
SEC: two
ACC: One
Big East: One
Big Ten: One
Big 12: Zero

Percentage of teams ranked 200 or less in the net, according to the Power Six Conference:

Pac-12: 25%
SEC: 14%
Big East: 9%
ACC: 7%
Big Ten: 7%
Big 12: 0%

Unless the Pac-12’s bottom feeders raise the floor over the next three weeks, a sinkhole will form that could swallow up many NCAA Tournament candidates and leave the conference back where it was a few years ago.

For power rating…

pay attention: We have included each team’s current net rankings and will do so weekly through Sunday.

1. UCLA (7-1/2-0)
Last week: 1
Result: beat Colorado 73-61, won in Washington (forced)
next: at Marquette (Saturday)
Net Ranking: number 30
Comment: The lower-than-expected NET rankings reflect a schedule that, so far, has included two marquee opponents (Villanova and Gonzaga) and an array of creampuffs.

2. USC (9-0/2-0)
Last week: 2
Result: beat Utah 73-63, won WSU 63-61
next: vs. Long Beach State (Sunday)
Net Ranking: number nine
Comment: The Trojans may very well produce a perfect non-conference season, but the final stretch is challenging: After LBSU, they face UC Irvine (5-1), Georgia Tech (5-3) and Oklahoma State (6- 3) takes place.

3. Arizona (7-0 / 1-0)
Last week: 3
Result: defeated Washington (by coercion), won by Oregon State 90-65
next: vs. Wyoming (Wednesday)
Net Ranking: Sequence 3
Comment: For now, the first season under Tommy Lloyd resembles the middle of the Sean Miller era, when talent and victories flowed freely and expectations followed.

4. Washington State (6-2/1-1)
Last week: 5
Result: ASU won 51–29, lost to USC 63–61.
next: Vs. Weber State (Wednesday)
Net Ranking: number 60
Comment: From the point of view of maximizing NCAA bids, the conference required WSU to defeat the Trojans. This counted as a Quadrant I victory for the Cougars, who didn’t have many of those opportunities left.

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5. Colorado (6-3/1-1)
Last week: 4
Result: Lost to UCLA 73-61 and Tennessee 69-54
next: vs. Eastern Washington (Wednesday)
Net Ranking: number 120
Comment: Beware the EWU Eagles, who won Washington State 10 days earlier. Actually, buffaloes need to be careful of everyone in view of their present condition.

6. Utah (6-2/1-1)
Last week: 6
Result: Lost at USC 93-73, defeated Cal 66-58
next: TCU (Wednesday)
Net Ranking: number 57
Comment: We expected UNLV to replace David Jenkins with immediate and lasting effect. So far he has done exactly that.

7. Oregon (5-4/0-1)
Last week: 7
Result: beat UC Riverside 71-65, lost to ASU 69-67
next: Stanford (Sunday)
Net Ranking: number 136
Comment: A few more scoops of dirt, and the hole will be too deep to get out. As it stands now, the duck must climb 70 places in the net to have a shot at the large pool.

8. Arizona State (3-6/1-1)
Last week: 8
Result: WSU lost 51-29, Oregon won 69-67
next: Vs. Grand Canyon (Thursday)
Net Ranking: number 221
Comment: If so, one might describe the opening month of ASU’s basketball season as a false start. That said, the victory in Eugene was a pleasant surprise for Bobby Hurley’s beleaguered group.

World Nation News Deskhttps://www.worldnationnews.com
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