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Thursday, September 29, 2022

‘Passive’ climate voters could change elections in key states, new survey shows

Vast regions of the United States are roasting in record heat, threatening blackouts, near-biblical droughts and deaths. Yet as Americans prepare to run for the 2022 midterm election, Survey passed To a large extent The economy, crime and abortion have been shown to be voters’ priorities far ahead of climate change.

But serious environmentalists can help steer tighter elections this year into at least two battleground states – if those registered voters can actually be persuaded to cast their ballots.

it is according to one new survey From the Environmental Voters Project, a nonpartisan group whose algorithms use consumer data and public voter registries to identify registered voters who do not vote but consider climate change a priority.

The nonprofit’s army of volunteers then targets those voters with a traditional get-out-the-vote campaign, hoping to build a green base of voters whose disciplined voting can do for climate policy. National Rifle Association Did it for gun control.

“It’s not that the climate movement has weakened,” said Nathaniel Stinet, founder and executive director of the Massachusetts-based organization. “It’s like we’ve become passive.”

A boat is carried on Saturday over land that was once covered in water at Lake Mead in Nevada.

Frederick J. Brown via Getty Images

From July 5 to 20, the Environmental Voters Project hired polling firm Beacon Research to survey 3,296 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The survey covered a large sample of both potential and unlikely voters.

The findings confirmed that issues such as the cost of living, jobs and abortion were at the top for voters this summer, with only 5% choosing climate change as their biggest concern. But Stinette said Sliver could make a difference in a race that comes down to a few thousand votes.

In Nevada, voters were twice as likely to choose a candidate based on climate change. In Pennsylvania, these so-called “low propensity voters” were more than twice as likely to vote on climate concerns.

“There are millions of people on these battlefields, and hundreds of thousands, who care so deeply about climate change that they’re saying it’s the most important factor when I choose a candidate,” Stinette said. “What’s happening is that all climate voters disappeared. They’re still here. They’re less likely to vote. They’re politically isolated.”

Surveys have shown widespread support for progressive policy reforms on issues such as climate and health care over the years, but highly partisan political priorities have not aligned with the interests of voters.

There are many factors at play, including industry influence pedaling, partisan political machines and loose laws on gerrymandering. But in recent years candidates have tried to mobilize new voters, with varying degrees of success.

Polls showing that non-voters were more likely to hold “very liberal” views anchored Democrats’ hopes in the last election that record turnout could turn the tide in their favor.

During the 2020 presidential primary, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) bet that he could beat the crowded field of Democrats for his party’s nomination by appealing to voters who felt frustrated about his influence. were, they had stopped voting. but strategy fail to control Joe Biden’s late bounce on the back of Democratic veterans.

A Survey By The Environmental Voters Project Found That Unlikely Voters, If Mobilized, Would Provide A Political Mandate For Climate Policy.
A survey by the Environmental Voters Project found that unlikely voters, if mobilized, would provide a political mandate for climate policy.

environmental voter project

Still, nearly two-thirds of eligible voters voted in 2020 leading to Democrats in the White House and both houses of Congress. Stinette’s group may be able to claim some responsibility there. In the last six years, he Estimate That group has converted about 1.1 million non-voters into regular lever-pullers.

Yet the legislative majority of the Democrats has so far proved too narrow to address policy disagreements within the party, although there were sign wednesday That part of the party’s climate agenda may be necessary for Sen. Joe Manchin (World Nation News.Va.). The conservative lawmaker, whose family owns a coal business, is widely seen as having the deciding vote on a climate spending package that could pass without a single Republican vote, but only if every Democratic senator approves.

Voter base Democrats need to prepare for some sort of policy victory this year. Forty-nine percent of Democratic voters polled by the Environmental Voters Project said that party legislators in Congress were doing “little to address climate change”, while 35% said it was the right amount and 6% said that the party The agenda was high. , Among independents, 43% said Democrats were doing too little, 11% said the right amount and 18% indicated too much. Even 33% of Republican voters said Democrats should do more.

“Don’t Shame Non-Voters,” A Sanders Campaign Tweet Read in 2019. “Listen to them. Learn about their issues. Explain to them how voting can help their lives and those they care about.”

Stinette agrees with only part of that. His group targets potential environmentalists with materials that rarely, if ever, mention climate change or ecological crises. Instead, he said, the Environmental Voters Project attempts to embarrass green non-voting voters with phone calls, texts, mailers and door-knocking, reminding them it’s important to vote, fail to vote. To be a matter of public record and their neighbors are voting.

“People are social animals, and they change their behavior based on the criteria they try to fit into,” Stinet said.

“We need to think more like beer commercials,” he said with a laugh. “Dos Equis doesn’t sell you beer by telling you the ingredients. It sells you beer by saying, ‘Don’t you want to be such great friends in our ad?'”

World Nation News Desk
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