These results differ from exit polls released at the end of election day this Sunday
The first official data on elections in Polandwith more than one 15% checkedthey gave 41.1% of the ultraconservative votes Law and Justicea wider advantage than Sunday’s exit polls indicated.
In second place, the Civic Platform of the liberal opposition Donald Tusk collected 25.4% of the votes, while the center of the Third Way coalition got, so far, 13.8% of the support. Currently, the Left and the Confederation ultranationalists are assigned 8% and 7.5%, respectively.
These results differ from the exit polls released at the end of the election day this Sunday, and which revealed the joy of the oppositions at the possibility of building a multi-party alliance to oust Law and Justice, which has been in charge since 2015. , from power. that the Civic Coalition (CO), led by the former president of the European Council, Donald Tusk, It is not supposed to be put to the polls, but it has options to get a parliamentary majority. “I have never been so happy with a second place. Poland has won. Democracy has won. This is the end of the PIS Government,” were the words that Tusk addressed to his people after knowing the first projections.
The polls project that Civic Coalition would have gotten 31.6% of the votes or 163 seats in a Parliament of 460. The government Law and Justice (PIS), the party with the most votes gets 200 seats, but, unlike the opposition, It has no partners that can cover the deficit to a large extent. The only party with which it has some affiliation and can form a coalition is Confederationa nationalist-libertarian formation currently led by a 36-year-old businessman Slawomir Mentzen.
Its programmatic ideology is associated with PiS although the latter is more radical. Mentzen wants “no Jews, no homosexuals, no abortions, no taxes, no European Union.” Konfederacja, moreover, wants to drastically cut social benefits, eliminate pension insurance and draw an anti-Ukrainian nationalist line. Konfederacja would have got 6.8% of the votes or 12 seats. PIS added that they provided 212.
The Civic Coalition, however, could form a coalition with the center-right party Third Walk, which will achieve 55 seats and Nueva Izquierda with 30. That tripartite will add 248 seats. They have an absolute majority even though the Konfederacja abstained when PiS stood for an investiture.
The majority desire of the Poles for change is not in doubt, however will only happen if the democratic and European forces seal an agreement, which in any case will not happen before PiS faces a round of contacts.
The final results will not be known until tonight or Tuesday morning, and it must be assumed that the ballots of hundreds of thousands of expatriated Poles will take longer to be counted.