The drafting of the amnesty law is progressing and Carles Puigdemont and Oriol Junqueras should be able to compete in the next Catalan regional elections. At least in this introduction the colleagues of Pedro Sánchez are working, and to achieve this they must tie the hands of the Supreme Court. The Chamber led by Marchena and Judge Llarena are their main headaches and what they do is to see how they limit the margin for legal readings that lead to what has already happened to them in looting, when the political decision to lower it was reviewed by the Supreme Court.
Llarena can respond to the amnesty by sending a preliminary ruling to the Court of Justice of the EU or even a question of constitutionality in the TC, which, while it is resolved, will keep the prosecution of Puigdemont and the warrant of arrest. Communication between Junts and PNV continues to be excellent, with permanent contacts. While Bildu will find themselves with an agreement made, in which they participate without almost opening their mouths and wait, even if they hide it, that the process of ETA prisoners will not stop.
Among those who know the information that flows between Waterloo and the PNV, they think that in the next Catalan elections – which will take place in February 2025, although there are talks that they can continue next year -, the new episode. should be seen in a direct competition in the polls between Puigdemont and Junqueras. They have no doubt that the amnesty is only justified if it affects the main faces of the “procés”, who, that is, are not in the same situation because Junqueras was tried and convicted, served his prison sentence, and Puigdemont is still a fugitive from Spanish Justice. The amnesty will erase the criminal responsibilities and the disqualification penalties, to completely reset the counter to zero. Otherwise, there will be no agreement, according to sources who participated in this first line of talks.
Puigdemont once again plays with an advantage, because in that scenario he can count, if the Justice does not stop him, to return to Spain as a candidate for the Presidency of the Generalitat, but within the ERC there are stabbings to solve the problem. The poor election results, and personal divisions, opened cracks within the Republicans. Junqueras was confused. The current president of the Generalitat, Pere Aragonés, does not want to leave, and when it comes to putting the pieces for the upcoming campaign, the name of Marta Rovira, general secretary of the ERC and who also lives in the run from Justice in Spain. in Geneva since March 2018.
Puigdemont has his big opportunity here to make the final chapter of his personal revenge on Junqueras. The personal and political relationship broke down, and the fugitive from Justice did not forgive Junqueras and ERC for the pressure and destabilization they created when he made the decision to call elections in 2017, and ended up forcing him, in a version that also coincides with what one hears in the order of the PNV, to go the way of the unilateral declaration of independence.
That Puigdemont and Junqueras will directly benefit from the agreement that Sánchez must stay in Moncloa will make his explanation to socialist voters even more expensive. The pedagogical campaign already launched by Moncloa talks about generosity and overcoming the conflict in Catalonia. The entourage of the acting president has built a new story to justify his rejection of what seems to be his fiercest principles in relation to the freedom movement. But this story will inevitably conflict with that of Puigdemont, who will also have to adapt his message and modulate how far he demands for a referendum on self-determination.
The possibility of a table, where the negotiation of the consultation in the future, euphemistically, is a possible way for those who until now have always maintained that the Catalans have already voted in a referendum in 2017 and that now the mandate of 1- Or, use freedom. Puigdemont remains installed in obscurity, and his opponent is not really Junqueras, who they say in the Junts does not have the capacity to manage political battles, but former minister Salvador Illa, head of the PSC and candidate for the Generalitat. The entire political structure that they have forged from Moncloa revolves in one way or another around the goal that the only socialist baron that Sánchez listens to will win, with a majority, the next Catalan regional elections.
In other words, the PNV and Junts will continue to act in Congress in a coordinated manner when there is a legislature. Not only in territorial issues, but also in economic and social issues against Yolanda Díaz.