It wasn’t the avalanche of votes against Joe Biden’s government that some polls predicted and some didn’t. I think, It is not that the ruling party can show itself to be victorious. Rather, the results of this Tuesday’s elections in the US present—when not all the cards are on the table yet—a scenario that usually appears from mid-term consultations: an opposition gaining some space to reach control. There is a vote-by-vote fight in the lower house and Senate, along with a few other changes to the regime that don’t fundamentally change the product.
The differences that are taking shape in the House of Representatives give Republicans a handful of more seats. In a hurry some analysts might say that this puts the opposition in a position to block the main initiatives of the government. But the neoliberal agenda has been transversal to the parties for far too long and, in practice, Democratic legislators were the most reluctant in these two years to support Biden’s more “distributive” proposals, which seemed a Peronist, and battled the climate. against change. West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin, on the Democratic spectrum, is more Republican than Trump, if you will.
On the other hand, support for the war in Ukraine will hardly find a resonance for President Volodymyr Zelensky to stop new “aid” packages. And the markets, fearing such, were theoretically cautious this Wednesday.
At the end of this column, at the White House they were celebrating that John Fetterman was left with the seat of senator from Pennsylvania in the hands of a Republican and Beans gave 48 out of 100 positions for each party. Although only 35 were at stake. The final composition of the Senate depends on a few key states such as Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Wisconsin, where counting can take several days.
In six of the 36 disputed regimes, the ruling party also breathed a sigh of relief in New York, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, while the opposition captured Florida, Texas and Georgia.
As in every election, other issues were also included in the election on this occasion. For example, it was an opportunity for the population in some states to decide on abortion, an issue that resurfaced after a court ruling that reversed it from a previous 1973 ruling.
Citizens of Michigan, California and Vermont voted to add abortion rights to their state constitutions, while those in Kentucky rejected an amendment that would prohibit it. It was also voted to liberalize recreational cannabis use. In Maryland and Missouri it was approved, in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota, the vote was negative.
Who may be hurting this Super Tuesday is former President Donald Trump, who faced an explosion of votes for Republicans, hoping to count each vote in his personal account to dream of returning in 2024 Can you Now he has a strong competitor within his own party, Ron DeSantis. The current governor of Florida, where the votes of exiled Cubans and Venezuelans are decisive, retained the first magistrate for the third time, with nearly 60% support and a 20-point margin over Charles Crist, who is no less conservative. Suffice it to say that he comes from the Republican kidney, and he crossed sides 10 years ago after ruling that state between 2007 and 2011.
We will have to see what the real estate millionaire does now that the polls were not so favorable. When he went to vote, along with his wife Melanie in Palm Beach, announced on November 15 that he was going to make a big announcement. It was assumed that this was his nomination for the next year’s presidential election. Now who knows what he will grumble at his Mar-a-Lago residence.