Currently, it is more common to see hurricanes intensify rapidly and the likelihood that one of these events will reach greater magnitudes appears to be increasing, in a remote conference broadcast at the National Autonomous University of Mexico. warned a researcher. UNAM).
In a statement issued this Saturday, the organization said that Purdue University researcher Dan Chavaso He spoke in front of academics and students from UNAM’s Institute of Atmospheric Science and Climate Change (ICAyCC), within the circle of “Current Panorama of Atmospheric Science and Climate Change” conferences.
Specialist in applied mathematics and atmospheric and oceanographic sciences The University of Wisconsin-Madison recalled that Hurricane Patricia, which made landfall in Mexico in 2015 with winds of 345 km/h, is an example of one that intensified rapidly.
“And we’ve seen this kind of behavior more and more often, there’s probably more consensus and I think the peak intensity is more difficult,” he said.
In addition, he said it is difficult to say whether storms become stronger, but he also observed that “a greater number of storms reach higher levels” and this is a “signal”, he pointed out.
Chavas, a PhD in atmospheric sciences from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), gave a talk on the use of experimental laboratory models to understand tropical cyclones on Earth, in which he explained that studies with computer models can be used to learn the behavior of events and broadly allows to study. and emulate their changes.
He recalled that the use of these systems reflects their complexity, helping to conduct experiments to turn things around, as well as providing climate forecasts, moreover, he said that he had seen cyclones and cyclones like Katia, Irma and Also allowed progressive monitoring of storms. Jose in 2017, as well as Sandy (2012) which lost $65,000 million.
The researcher specified that a large number of scientists in the world are trying to answer the question “how does the planet heat up and what to expect in terms of speed and minimum pressure, so it is hoped that computational Using the model will give a better understanding of what happens.”
Chavas, an expert in the study of tropical cyclones, severe weather, risk analysis and modeling and their social impacts, said that to know what is happening, “one of the data that is expected to be known is the temperature of the ocean, maximum Important information for the identification of intensity potential”.
He said recent studies by his team have shown that the intensity of cyclones has been affected by climate change, but Earth is probably at a point where rainfall increases and its intensity may be greater, as well as its frequency. Could be too.
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