Amid rising tensions, the European security landscape hangs in the balance due to Russia’s continued involvement in Ukraine, according to Norwegian military intelligence, which is strengthening its position in the war in Ukraine, according to E-tjenesten
The recent statement of the president of France, Emmanuel Macron, highlighted Europe’s concern about Russia’s possible victory in Ukraine, which it considers a direct threat to the security of the continent. Despite these warnings, reports from “Focus 2024” of Norwegian intelligence show a significant improvement in Russia’s conflict.
The Admiral Nils Andreas Stensjones in front of the e-service, highlighting Russia’s current superiority compared to last year. The progress of this development suggests that without significant Western support for Ukraine, including a constant supply of weapons and defense strategies, the balance will definitely tip in favor of Russia.
The stagnation in the provision of military aid EE.UU. in Ukraine, due to disagreements in Congress about aid funding, further complicates the situation. This destruction not only slowed down the supply of weapons and ammunition but also affected the maintenance of Ukrainian defense equipment. In addition, the unexpected change in the Ukrainian military leadership, from General Valery Zaluzhny to General Alexander Sirsky, indicated increased uncertainty about the future of the conflict.
Impact of the conflict on Russia’s future military capacity
The report of The e-service projects that the outcome of the war in Ukraine will be crucial in determining Russia’s military strength in the coming years. Russia’s adoption of a “war economy” strengthened its arms sector, ensuring sufficient resources for the future war effort.
Norwegian intelligence estimates that, given the current focus on war material production and a substantial military budget, Russia could regain combat capability before 2022 within three to five years after that. in conflict. This assessment was echoed in the statements of the Danish Minister of Defence, Troels Lund Poulsenand the Chief of the General Staff of armed forcesgeneral Carsten Breuerwho warned about the possibility of a Russian attack on the subjects of I’LL TAKE IT in the near future.
The prospect of a large-scale Russian attack on Ukraine in 2024 promotes the preparation of logistics, increased production of ammunition and a reorganization of forces that will give Russia a decisive advantage. The experience gained and the development of new weapons in the Ukrainian context will serve to strengthen the military capacity of Russia in the future.
The strategy of Russian alliances against Western sanctions
Russia’s view of the conflict as a direct confrontation with the West has motivated it to seek strategic alliances, especially in China and other countries outside the Western bloc. This diplomatic and commercial reconfiguration directly responded to the sanctions imposed by EE. UU. y Europeseeks to counter its impact and challenge Western supremacy.
The Admiral Andreas Stensones promotes increasing cooperation between non-democratic countries with aspirations to change the global balance of power. Against this backdrop, Russia plans to expand its military forces to 1.5 million by 2026, restore the Moscow and Leningrad military districts, and create new divisions, preparing for a long confrontation with the West.