The No. 8 Texas (5-1) returns from its bye week when it travels to Houston (3-3) on Saturday afternoon. The Longhorns won their first five games of the season before losing to Oklahoma in a 34-30 thriller two weeks ago. Houston has won two of its last three games and is coming off a 41-39 upset win over West Virginia. This will be the only Big 12 meeting between these former rivals, who have not met since 2002.
Kickoff is set for 4 pm ET on Saturday at TDECU Stadium in Houston. Texas is favored by 23.5 points in the latest Houston vs. Texas odds, while the over/under is set at 61 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Texas vs. Houston picks, you want to see college football predictions from the SportsLine model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated an astounding profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who followed it saw huge returns.
The model focuses on Texas-Houston. You can go to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:
- Houston vs. Texas spread: Houston +23.5
- Houston vs. Texas over/under: 61 points
- Houston vs. Texas money line: Houston: +1047, Texas: -2092
- Houston vs. Texas picks: See the picks here
- Houston vs. Texas live stream: fubo (try free)
Why Houston can cover
Houston has won two of its last three games, coming off an upset against West Virginia as a 3-point underdog on Thursday. Quarterback Donovan Smith threw a 49-yard touchdown pass that was caught by Stephon Johnson as time expired, capping one of the most exciting games of the season. Smith finished 21 of 27 for 253 yards and four touchdowns, completing his final 16 passes of the game.
The Cougars have scored at least 28 points in four of their last five games, getting off to a strong start to their first season in the Big 12. Freshman running back Parker Jenkins and sophomore running back Stacy Sneed are both averaging more than five yards per carry, while Smith gained 1,600 passing yards and 17 total touchdowns. The Cougars are 12-4 in their last 16 home games, and Texas is winless against the spread in its last five games against AAC opponents.
Why Texas can cover
Texas lost to Oklahoma in a thrilling rivalry game last time out, but it had a bye last week. The Longhorns have scored at least 30 points in every game this season, making it easy to cover a big spread. Sophomore quarterback Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,704 yards and 11 touchdowns, surpassing 300 passing yards in each of his last two games.
Sophomore running back Jonathon Brooks has rushed for 726 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 6.7 yards per carry. Houston lost to TCU by 23 points and Texas Tech by 21 points, so the Cougars had trouble keeping up with quality opponents. Houston has covered the spread just twice in its last eight Saturday home games, and is 5-12 against the spread in its last 17 Saturday games overall. See which team to pick here.
How to make Houston vs. Texas picks
The model simulated Texas vs. Houston 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans Over, and it also generates a point-spread pick that hits over 70% of the simulations. You can only see the SportsLine selection.
So who wins in Houston vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine today to see which side of the Texas vs. Houston spread to jump, all from an advanced computer model that has topped $2,000 in its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out i.