Monday, March 4, 2024

The disintegration of the left: more electoral risks than governmental risks | Spain

After all the risks assumed and those that are yet to come, the break of the left from the left was not received by the PSOE and the Presidency of the Government with drama. Yes, one more inconvenience; one more job, one more page in the already bloated agenda of actors we have to negotiate for every parliamentary step. However, Podemos’ break with Sumar was experienced with more concern about the future electoral ground than about everyday parliamentary life. Sumar felt free: the separation meant that they had nothing to say about their former partners.

“It’s over”. This is the simple and clear expression they use in Sumar when they ask what is now. Now it’s gone. The five deputies of Podemos, assigned to the Mixed Group, have the socialist negotiators of the Government as interlocutors. Be it the Minister of the Presidency, Justice and Relations of the Cortes, Félix Bolaños, or any sectoral minister. The possibility that one of these interlocutors belonged to the Sumar movement did not enter into the calculations.

The latter did not believe that there was a need for this contact, but they transferred all responsibility for negotiations to the socialist part of the Government; of course Bolaños, concerning the Secretary of State for Relations with the Cortes, Rafael Simancas, who is extremely knowledgeable about the legislative content and can negotiate with all groups.

The “comfort” expressed by Podemos and Sumar apart from each other’s independence is a burden for the Government. The highest level recommendation of the second vice president and leader of Sumar, Yolanda Díaz, to avoid what happened, once she did not include the former Minister of Equality, Irene Montero, in the electoral lists, fell on deaf ears. The gulf between the space promoted by Díaz and Podemos is so deep that the PSOE does not have the slightest chance of forming a compact bloc. That broke almost immediately after former Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias left the Government.

In the last two years, Díaz and his team have gone through moments of maximum tension due to disagreements with Ione Belarra, general secretary of Podemos, about economic laws and foreign policy positions. Now the war in Gaza is known, but the drag of the war is constant. Podemos also feels the liberation. How can they stay in Sumar’s group when their initiative capacity is reduced to zero because they have no command or voice in the direction of the group? On both sides, they reaffirmed what they had done.

The problem, big or small, is with the PSOE, although it is currently trying to minimize it. I will seek votes even under rocks to realize the project of national development. This September statement of Pedro Sánchez, before the leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, presented himself for his investiture, but the impossibility that he has any support to achieve it is already known, put in government interlocutors consulted in this context. That’s the answer when asked about adding groups to negotiate each step they want to take. Of course, with Sumar.

At the risk of being accused of a behavior that is more theatrical than real when pointing out the differences that exist in reaching an agreement with the socialist party to sign an agreement with the government, in Sumar they continue: “We will not put the coalition. the legislature is at risk but we will discuss what we do not agree on. And we will not agree.”. The discussion is real and serious, but the socialist majority and Sumar believe that they are a coalition with a permanent will to agree. The discussions exist so that the PSOE can agree with the Junts per Catalunya, the PNV, and, on occasions, Bildu and ERC. These last two did not support labor reform.

Podemos’ five votes are as important as anything else; They are all needed, including that of the BNG, where the PSOE and Sumar will face each other in the regional elections in Galicia, which are very close in March.

PSOE’s concern about the separation of Sumar and Podemos lies more in Galicia, than in the Basque Country, and in June for the European elections, than in Congress. At least, in the beginning. How many candidates from the left of the PSdeG-PSOE will be presented in Galicia? Three, after the separation between Díaz and Belarra; a scary drawing for socialist candidate José Ramón Gómez Besteiro.

The leader of the PSOE, Pedro Sánchez, knows about these difficulties, but they see that he is determined to try to overcome them. This Tuesday, the troubling amnesty bill for many socialist voters began in Congress. In a few days, the President of the Government will meet with the leader of the PP.

On both sides, they measure whether there is any agreement. The PP’s congratulations to Calviño for his election as president of the European Investment Bank, according to the PSOE, shows that everything remains the same. The entire content of the congratulations, released this Friday, is an amendment to the generality of Calviño’s work.

World Nation News Desk
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