A study published in the journal ‘The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology’‘ noted that 8.4 million people were living together diabetes type 1 (T1D) worldwide in 2021, and it is forecast that this figure will increase to between 13.5 and 17.4 million people in 2040.
“Let us warn about the result negative impactThis is enough for societies and health care systems,” said experts from the University of Sydney, Australia.
Researchers compare data on prevalence of T1D children, teenagers and adults in 97 countries, with incidence data over time from 65 countries and mortality data from 37 countries with incidence, prevalence and mortality Type 1 diabetes for 201 countries in 2021, with projections for future prevalence by 2040.
“Our findings emphasize the urgent need to improve surveillance and data collection on the incidence, prevalence and mortality of T1D adult populationOne area where data is particularly scarce, ”said experts.
model estimates global deaths In 2021, 175,000 were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes, and 35,000 or 20 percent of these were attributed to a lack of diagnosis, of which 14,500 were in sub-Saharan Africa and 8,700 in South Asia.
loss researchers It is estimated that an additional 3.1 million people would be alive in 2021 if they had not died prematurely due to sub-optimal type 1 diabetes care, and an additional 700,000 people would still be alive if they had not died prematurely due to underdiagnosis.
Similarly, the estimated prevalence in 2040 provided by the model was 13.5 to 17.5 million people, with the greatest relative increase predicted to be in low-income and low- and middle-income countries.