Sunday, February 25, 2024

The study anticipates AMLO’s defeat of the February 5 initiatives

President Andrés Manuel López Obrador will be sent on February 5th a Congressional reform package, between standing changes to election law and the pension system, but a study expects that it will not be passed by the current legislature because the opposition will refuse to vote in favor of the behavior that Congress had in the previous reforms sent by the Executive.

During the presentation of the study “Parliamentary Office: Balance and Analysis of the LXV Legislature”, Sergio Bárcena, an academic of Tec de Monterrey, predicted that based on the numbers, it is possible to expect that his initiatives will not pass, even though they have not been presented to Congress, the Chamber of Deputies, or the Senate, even if his favorite chamber of origin is the Lower House.

“What will happen with the reforms of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador? The president announced a few days ago that he is planning a package of 10 constitutional reforms. What does he want to do with these constitutional reforms? Change the system in the elections, change the system of pensions, to make some profound changes to reform the State,” commented Sergio Bárcena, the Parliamentary Bureau’s founder.

The Lower House is AMLO’s favorite, according to the study

He showed that a remarkable fact about President Andrés López Obrador is that the Chamber of Deputies This is his favorite because most of his initiatives are first sent to the lower house of parliament, unlike what other leaders do, where some are sent to the Senate first.

Sergio Bárcena assured that López Obrador sent 90 percent of his initiatives to the Chamber of Deputies.

There are many reasons why it is expected that the next initiatives of President López Obrador will not pass, and that is because the study carried out by the organization Parliamentary Bureau emphasized that the legislators have almost six months to analyze, vote, and, if appropriate, approve the reforms sent by the Executive.

Legislative resistance

In addition, in the current panorama, the reforms that López Obrador intends to send to Congress will face a legislative existence in addition to the long stages of processing, with the final approval of initiatives of 50 percent, characterized by the study presented this Thursday.

The opposition has already openly said that it will not vote in favor of the initiatives that Lopez Obrador sent to Congress.

The study of the Parliamentary Bureau highlights that President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has sent a total of 44 initiatives, six of which are in the spending budget.

During the presentation of “Parliamentary Bureau: Balance and Analysis of the LXV Legislature,” Sergio Bárcena explained that the first step after sending the initiatives is their analysis in the commissions, where 34 percent of the initiatives of President López remain. Worker Three remained in the plenary session of the Chamber of Deputies, discussing issues such as electoral reform, energy reform, and others.

Subject to Executive approval

“There are four left in the Senate, and they promoted him, he himself signed initiatives, a total of 18. In other words, his approval rate is 43 percent now and this approval rate is relatively low for the Executive,” he commented. .

He said it was because the initiatives he sent were unconventional, which is why the opposition stopped them.

“It is not that he is a bad legislator, but that he is an unusual legislator, that is how we describe him. This president initiated unusual projects for an Executive, for example, the name of General Staff, changing the name of the General Staff, or that 2024 will be declared the year of Felipe Carrillo Puerto,” he recalled.

Although he admitted that Morena legislators and allied parties are more consistent,

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