The amnesty has monopolized much of the focus of the political debate, although three out of five Spaniards believe that the measure of grace will not be on the table if Pedro Sánchez does not need Junts’ support for his inauguration. This is clear from a survey conducted by the DYM Institute for HENNEO, according to which only half of socialist voters support amnesty of Catalan politicians charged in the process. 61.2% of respondents would prefer the elections to be repeated rather than the PSOE negotiating with the independence movement, although only 34.7% believe that the polls will return in January.
60.9% of those interviewed believe that Sánchez only negotiated amnesty because need the support of the independentists The Catalans to reissue his mandate to the head of the Government. This is the majority opinion of voters of all parties – even 54.4% of socialists share it – though Popular voters are the majority who support this thesis (71.6%). Only 23.3% of those surveyed consider that the grace measure can be negotiated even if the vote of the seven Junts deputies is not decisive.
The rejection of amnesty was also the majority, although not unanimous, among the various voters. 57.6% of those interviewed would oppose an agreement between PSOE, Sumar and nationalist parties that included the move, although The proportion of respondents against the final pact exceeds 80% of PP and Vox voters. On the opposite extreme, 72.4% of voters who gave their support to Yolanda Díaz on July 23 would accept amnesty for those accused in the process. On the other hand, only half of socialist voters approve of the grace measure and one in three reject it.
Indeed, three out of five interviewees prefer a repeat election in January for the PSOE to reach an agreement with the independence movement, a scenario that only one of the three interviewees chose. Among the voters of PP and Vox there is almost a consensus about predilection to go to the polls again. On the contrary, 53.4% and 67.5% of those polled who support Sánchez and Díaz respectively in the July elections are in favor of having an agreement with the pro-independence forces. However, there are 39% of socialist voters and 26% of Sumar voters who want the election to be repeated.
More than likes, 52.9% of Spaniards believe that the PSOE will finally reach an agreement with the independence movement to form a Government, compared to 34.7% who believe there will be new elections. The most optimistic about a quick formation of the Executive are the voters of PSOE and Sumar (64% and 68.9%, respectively). On the other hand, popular voters are more divided – 46.7% believe there will be an agreement, compared to 43.5% who see a repeat election as more likely – followed by Vox, the only one of which this is most of the idea. that we should go back to the polls (with 53.3%).
Apart from the predictions, two out of every three respondents believe that, if the measure of grace is approved, a consultation with the citizens should be done before. This is what more than 80% of Vox and PP voters and also 59.9% of socialist voters believe, while Sumar voters are divided: 48.2% believe that a citizen consultation should be held as soon as possible that amnesty.compared to 48 % who rejected the idea.
Almost half of socialist voters rejected an agreement for a referendum
The majority of Spaniards, 61%, showed themselves misunderstanding with PSOE and Sumar reaching an agreement with nationalist parties to hold a referendum in Catalonia. In addition, of those who voted for PSOE on 23-J, The move sparked more disapproval than support: Almost half (46.5%) are against it compared to 43.7% who see it favorably.
Among the right-wing voters, the percentage of those who reject the consultation is very high: 88.7% of popular and 87.4% of Vox criticize it and only 7.5 and 6.3%, respectively, give their approval. For their part, the voters of Sumar are the biggest supporters of agreeing to the consultation. Almost two out of three, 63.4%, would accept the approval of the referendum and only 28.8% would oppose it.
In the hypothetical case that this is done, most of the surveyed I chose all the Spaniards to participate. This was stated by 69.3% of the respondents, while 22.2% would limit it only to the citizens of Catalonia. There are also differences among voters on this issue. It is estimated by 83.6% of Feijóo’s party supporters that the consultation should be open to the entire population, a figure that rises to 84.6% of Abascal’s parties.
The percentage of socialists is also high: 66.1% believe that the issue is not only for the Catalans. Sumar’s voters, in the end, were divided: 46.8% said the referendum should be limited to Catalonia and 46.4% said it should be open to the rest of the country.