The former president of the United States, Donald Trump, has a comfortable lead of more than ten points over Nikki Haley in the New Hampshire Republican primary race next Tuesday, where the former governor of South Carolina and former ambassador to the UN remains the only surviving rival in the race against the magnate after the collapse of the polls of the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis.
According to the latest survey published this Sunday by CNN and the University of New Hampshire, Trump will get 50 percent of the voting intention compared to 39 percent that Haley will reach. Both increase in percentage compared to the survey at the beginning of the month (39 and 32 percent, respectively), especially since DeSantis completely collapsed in less than a year: from the leading preliminary polls in early 2023, he now sits at a paltry 6 percent, below the minimum 10 percent he needs to win delegates.
This invites us to think about a new choice of Republican candidates for the White House that will leave Trump and Haley face-to-face as the most unusual for the final nomination, although the former president is always the undisputed favorite. For Haley, according to CNN experts, this is the last chance to break the positive impotence of Trump, the extraordinary winner of Iowa and a clear favorite for the call. ‘Super Tuesday’ on March 5, where primaries will be held in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.
More moderate Republican voters in New Hampshire approve of Haley with some margin of confidence about Trump, but a comfortable win for the tycoon could leave him alone before even crossing the halfway mark of the year. The Democratic primaries in this state have no great significance: 63 percent of those polled assured that they would vote for Biden even if the current president did not present himself as a candidate—the main opposition to the process of nomination by the National Committee of the Democratic Party—and it must be his supporters who push for his name to appear on the ballot.
This percentage for Biden represents a difference of more than fifty points compared to two other candidates: the Minnesota representative Dean Phillips, who remains at the 10 percent threshold, and the writer Marianne Williamson, who registered 9 percent.