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Monday, November 29, 2021

Week 11 Crows vs. Bears Intelligence Report: Who Has the Advantage?

The Ravens have one of their worst performances during the Lamar Jackson era, losing 22-10 to the Miami Dolphins. They are now heading to Chicago to face the Bears, which have lost four in a row but have an improving rookie quarterback in Justin Fields. Here’s who has the edge at each stage:

The Ravens pass the game against the Bears pass the defense

The Ravens knew the Miami dolphins were attacking them with Cover 0, but they never adjusted enough. They tried to break the Miami offensive with screens and short crosses, but quarterback Lamar Jackson (26 out of 43, 238 yards, one touchdown, one interception) never found a comfortable rhythm as the catchy defenders continued to make free attempts. Other teams are likely to try similar approaches, although it is not clear that the Bears, which ranked 31st in the league in terms of blitz percentage, will be one of them. Coach John Harbaugh expressed confidence in the Ravens’ ability to resist. When Jackson was under such intense pressure, he could not find his usual deep connections with Marquise Brown (six catches on 13 targets, 37 yards). Wide receiver Sammy Watkins looked rusty after a three-match absence with a hamstring injury. He stopped too quickly on a shot into the end zone and felt the lone ball he caught against the Dolphins. On the other hand, Rashod Bateman’s first-round pick (six catches on eight targets, 80 yards) continued his hot start, showing his rare gift of snatching passes through the air in traffic. After a bad week, the Ravens are ranked 10th in the league for passes and yards per try.

The Bears averaged 6.7 yards per try for the opposing quarterbacks, so they can be attacked in depth. According to DVOA Football Outsiders, they struggled to cover the # 1 receivers so that Brown could quickly get back on track. The Bears are hoping Khalil Mak has his best pass after missing the last two games with a foot injury. Veteran Robert Quinn (6 ½ sacks, eight quarterback strikes) gives them their second threat.

EDGE: Ravens

Bears pass the game against the Ravens pass the defense

The Bears have the least productive passing attacking in the league, but that’s a little misleading as rookie quarterback Justin Fields (59.4% completions, four touchdowns, eight interceptions) has improved in recent weeks. He shot 291 yards after losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 9. Like Jackson, Fields uses his legs to buy time and look down. he is second to Crow quarterback for yards per try, according to next generation NFL statistics. Darnell Mooney’s wide receiver (36 catches on 59 targets, 450 yards) was Fields’ most productive target, which is a bit of a surprise considering the Bears spent $ 17.8 million on the Allen Robinson extension (30 catches on 50 targets, 339 yards) at this season.

The Ravens are still struggling to make sense of the communications and repair misses in their secondary play after allowing passes at 64, 52 and 35 yards against the Dolphins. These explosive games undermined their good performance in other areas; for example, they are second in the league in third person defense. But they allowed opposition defenders to average 7.3 yards per shot, finishing 29th in the league. According to the Pro Football Reference, although the Crows have played less this year, they still have the third-highest percentage of blitz in the league. Don’t be surprised if Defense Coordinator Don “Wink” Martindale cites a particularly aggressive play against a rookie quarterback who frequently switches the ball. Veteran Justin Houston (three sacks, 13 quarterbacks) was the Ravens’ most consistent pass, while Odafe Ove leads the pressure of the rookies.

EDGE: Ravens

Crows run around the game against bears run in defense

The Ravens’ ground attack went into hibernation again after their first performance against the Dolphins, when runner-back veterans Devont Freeman and Le’Veon Bell drove just 36 yards for 13 carries together. They generated a few yards on the first pass, leading to third and lengthy situations that haunted the offense for most of the game. Jackson (nine carries by 39 yards) didn’t punish Miami blitz with his climbing ability. Ravens continue to lead in speed and rank fifth in carry yards. They released Bell on Tuesday and could bring Latavius ​​Murray (ankle) back against the Bears. Extraordinary blocker Nick Boyle (knee) may also return after a year of recovery.

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The Bears have allowed over 100 yards in each of their past four games and have allowed opponents to average 4.4 yards per carry over the season. According to Pro Football Focus, midfielder Rokuen Smith easily leads them into tackles, but is poorly rated as a defender on the run. There is no dominant indoor work space in Chicago.

EDGE: Ravens

Bears run around the game against ravens run from protection

The Bears are fifth in snatch and seventh in yards per carry thanks to the good work of their young runners David Montgomery (372 yards, 4.5 yards per carry in five games) and Khalil Herbert. Fields (288 yards, 5.5 yards to carry) pose a serious running threat, although almost all of his yards are from scrum rather than planned play. Chicago have run over 100 yards in eight of their nine games.

The Ravens, led by defender Calais Campbell at deep field and midfielder Josh Bynes in midfield, are fourth in defense. Opponents usually attack them in the air rather than on the ground, but the Bears seem to be reversing that trend. This match could turn into a fight when Chicago has the ball.

EDGE: Even

Special teams of ravens vs special teams of bears

The crows have made unusual mistakes on special teams over the past two weeks. Justin Tucker missed a 48-yard field goal attempt against the Dolphins and they gave up a 98-yard kick-off kickback and fourth fake punt conversion last week against the Minnesota Vikings. Tucker has made 17 of 19 shots for a field goal this season. Devin Duvernay averaged 16.3 yards on 18 punt returns and could be an important factor against the Bears who are struggling with punt cover. They are better at starting shots and have a dangerous responder in the person of Jakem Grant. Chicago kicker Cairo Santos made 13 of 14 shots for a field goal but missed a single shot from over 50 yards away.

EDGE: Ravens

Intangible Assets Ravens vs. intangible assets Bears

The Ravens have their worst performance of the season in Miami and haven’t shown a full performance since beating the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 6. They are still in good positions in the AFC but know they can’t miss another game. against the losing team. So far, they have not been able to correct their communication blunders in defense or their fight with a blitz attack in attack. But Harbaugh and his staff have a long track record of improving their teams throughout the season. The Bears have lost four games in a row and Matt Nagy is often referred to as head coach. But Fields gave teammates and fans a reason to be optimistic.

EDGE: Ravens

Forecast

The Ravens came out of Miami and never solved the problems the attacking defense had thrown at them. They will have another chance to cement the win in Chicago, where the Bears were mediocre defensively and volatile offensively with Fields as quarterback. This time the Crows will do it, led by Jackson to rebound against a less successful defense. Ravens 31, Bears 20

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