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Monday, March 27, 2023

Without the “red tide” but with a hint of Joe Biden’s exhaustion

United States midterm elections We are still living this Wednesday, November 9, minute by minute, to have an accurate outlook for the next presidential election. The final results are yet to come, although it is already clear that There was no “red tide” (Republican) Like I thought.

However, the President Joe Biden will have to yield even more In the House of Representatives, where Republicans are on track to win a majority. Panorama is different in the Senate where the results show similarity in the absence of knowing the results for the 4 major seats (out of a total of 100, they go 48 – 48).

What was the key to this new electoral battle?

1) Breathe the government.

Losing the House of Representatives by a narrow margin and capturing the Senate is seen as a victory for the government, which feared a night of terror due to trends and public opinion. However, he was left with a victory that no one in Pennsylvania expected his dream Tuesday,

John Fetterman, Now a brand new senator who defeated the elected Donald Trump, Chief Political Analyst of new York Times, Nate Cohn defined it this way: “This is not the night the Republicans wanted”.

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2) Polarization.

The lack of agreements between the two sides means government management is slow. This is not going to change as a result of this election: they assure that It will be even more difficult to reach agreements, since with the House of Representatives, the opposition is going to move forward with an agenda that will die in the Senate and vice versa. Is there room for agreements beyond fragmentation? Everything seems to be pointing to it or not, as the presidential election begins to be played at midnight tonight.

3) 2024 has already been played.

Donald Trump announced that he would run for president on November 15, although he did so before knowing the midterm results, which could modify his strategy so as not to appear in a moment of weakness. The image is also opposite to that of Florida’s governor, Ron DeSantiswho was re-elected with more than 50% of the votes.

Although this Republican seemed a perfect mate for Trump in the race for the White House, party segments are expected to face him in the internal race, especially when the Democrats see a lack of leadership and a strong candidate does appear. No (not in the Biden plans).

Donald Trump
Donald Trump will compete in 2024.

4) Referendum for rights.

To pass the decision making power after the decision of the Supreme Court Abortion in every state, Without a national law, this election served as a referendum on the matter in several districts. In this way, California, Michigan and Vermont voted in favor of protecting abortion rights.

In August, Kansas was the first state to vote on abortion and voted in favor of it. On the other hand, recreational use of marijuana was approved in two of the five states that submitted it for consultation (Maryland and Missouri). Thus, there are already 21 of the 50 territories in the United States where it is legal.

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5) No major changes for Argentina and the region.

The only obvious concern of the United States about Argentina is the “concern” about the political and economic influence of the United States. Russia and China, especially the Asian giants. This was stated by official representatives of both sides. profile in Congress.

Intended to build a space base in Tierra del Fuego and use social networks such as TIC Toc Among the issues are lobbying for information management. Another aspect is the Venezuelan chapter with the Iranian regime. The agenda doesn’t move much. As a Republican adviser put it, “Foreign policy is like an aircraft carrier, it costs a lot to change direction.”


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